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Volatilité et accumulation du capital dans les économies subsahariennes

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Arthur CHOPKENG AWOUNANG
Université de Yaoundé II - Nouveau Programme de Troisième Cycle Inter universitaire (NPTCI ) - Diplôme d'études approfondies (DEA ) en sciences économiques 2012
  

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Annexe 7 : résultats des tests d'hausman pour les modèles

. hausman fixed

---- Coefficients ----

(b) (B)

fixed .

(b-B)
Difference

sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B))
S.E.

ASP

| -.1040167

-.0856388

-.018378

.0042558

lnTG

| -.0294086

-.0247023

-.0047063

.0013607

lnOC

| .0256118

.0203253

.0052865

.0038075

FDI

| .0006274

.0006088

.0000186

.

PFI

| .0384899

.041615

-.0031251

.

STI

| -.0282517

-.0269044

-.0013473

.

CPIB

| .0018299

.0021477

-.0003178

.

VTCER

| -.0114757

-.0123185

.0008428

.

VPIB

| 6.35e-06

-.0000292

.0000356

7.06e-06

VCTDE

| -.0029047

-.0104178

.0075131

.

VINF

| -3.68e-07

-2.05e-07

-1.62e-07

.

b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg

Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic

chi2(10)

=

(b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)

 

=

26.21

Prob>chi2

=

0.0035

. hausman fixes

---- Coefficients ----

(b) (B)

fixes .

(b-B)
Difference

sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B))
S.E.

MCPIB

| .0068244

.0005831

.0062413

.0108725

MlnTG

| .2034575

.1336621

.0697954

.0778277

MlnOC

| .0354035

.00482

.0305835

.1176474

FERT

| -1.734617

-2.275468

.5408514

.5440932

MSTI

| -.6018115

-.6139975

.012186

.2097658

VINF

| .0000657

.0000529

.0000128

.0000127

VCTDE

| .4322402

.3189378

.1133024

.2972571

VPIB

| .0034928

.0034407

.0000522

.0011709

VTCER

| -.1543973

-.231171

.0767737

.1751779

b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg

Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic

chi2(8) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)

= 3.39

Prob>chi2 = 0.9079

Annexe 8 : Résultats des tests d'hétéroscédasticité sur les modèles

.Modified Wald test for groupwise heteroskedasticity in fixed effect regression model

H0: sigma(i)^2 = sigma^2 for all i

chi2 (18) = 693.34

Prob>chi2 = 0.0000

Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression

Coefficients: generalized least squares Panels: heteroskedastic

Correlation: no autocorrelation

Estimated

covariances

=

17

Number of obs =

100

Estimated

autocorrelations

=

0

Number of groups =

17

Estimated

coefficients

=

7

Obs per group: min =

5

 
 
 
 

avg =

5.882353

 
 
 
 

max =

6

 
 
 
 

Wald chi2(6) =

1515.57

Log likelihood

=

-138.7242

Prob > chi2 =

0.0000

H | Coef.

Std. Err.

z

P>|z|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

MCPIB

| -.0058625

.015304

-0.38

0.702

-.0358578

.0241329

MlnTG

| .9455804

.1672175

5.65

0.000

.6178402

1.273321

MlnOC

| 1.111018

.1235995

8.99

0.000

.8687677

1.353269

MDFI

| .6551396

.3391258

1.93

0.053

-.0095348

1.319814

POPRAL

| -.0456649

.0028193

-16.20

0.000

-.0511906

-.0401392

VPIB

| -.0052023

.0023434

-2.22

0.026

-.0097953

-.0006094

_cons | 9.766002

.3960112

24.66

0.000

8.989834

10.54217

.

. estimates store hetero

.

. xtgls H MCPIB MlnTG MlnOC MDFI POPRAL VPIB

Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression

Coefficients: generalized least squares Panels: homoskedastic

Correlation: no autocorrelation

Estimated

covariances

=

1

Number of obs =

100

Estimated

autocorrelations

=

0

Number of groups =

17

Estimated

coefficients

=

7

Obs per group: min =

5

 
 
 
 

avg =

5.882353

 
 
 
 

max =

6

 
 
 
 

Wald chi2(6) =

125.24

Log likelihood

=

-174.1838

Prob > chi2 =

0.0000

H | Coef.

Std. Err.

z

P>|z|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

MCPIB

| .1210946

.0562855

2.15

0.031

.0107771

.2314121

MlnTG

| 1.436827

.4658322

3.08

0.002

.5238123

2.349841

MlnOC

| .7761341

.3586263

2.16

0.030

.0732395

1.479029

MDFI

| 2.22052

1.68022

1.32

0.186

-1.07265

5.51369

POPRAL

| -.0665186

.0095558

-6.96

0.000

-.0852476

-.0477896

VPIB

| -.015764

.00809

-1.95

0.051

-.0316201

.0000921

_cons | 12.35888

1.176686

10.50

0.000

10.05261

14.66514

.

. local df = e(N_g) - 1

.

. lrtest hetero . , df(`df')

Likelihood-ratio test LR chi2(16) = 70.92

(Assumption: . nested in hetero) Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

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