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Analyse économique des déterminants de la demande des énergies de cuisson dans la commune de Porto-Novo au Bénin

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Abdoul Naser YAHAYA MOUSSA
Université d'Abomey-Calavi (Bénin) - Maitrise en sciences économiques 2011
  

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REFERENCES BIBLIOGRAPHIQUES

1. ALBERT Honlonkou (1996), Analyse de la demande des céréales au Benin. Période 1980-1993, CIRES, Université d'Abidjan, Cote d'Ivoire, Document de travail, 1996

2. BERTRAND et al, (1991), Pénurie de bois et passage de l'autoconsommation à la commercialisation rurale et urbaine du bois de feu dans le département de l'Atlantique au Bénin. Sciences et techniques pour le développement/CIRAD/CTFT FSA/UNB, Centre de recherches agronomique de l'Etat.

3. BIAOU C. Félix (1994), Analyse de la commercialisation de la production du bois de feu par les paysans de l'Atlantique Sud Bénin : Rapport présenté pour le projet de plantations du bois de feu, MDR, 78p.

4. BRUCY Guy et RICHARDOT Sophie (2006-2007), Petit guide à l'usage des étudiants pour l'élaboration et l'écriture mémoire, Université de Picardie Jules Verne (PDF Adobe-Reader).

5. CAROLYNE Barnes, TEAN Ensminger and PHIL O'Keefe (1984), Energy, Environment and Development in Africa 6, Wood energy and Households Perspectives on Rural Kenya.

6. Deaton A. et Muellbauer J; (1980),»An Almost Ideal Demand System» Amer. Econ. Rev. 70 (1980), PP. 312-26.

7. DENNIS Anderson (1987), The economics of Afforestation, A case study in Africa.

8. DENNIS Anderson et ROBERT Fishwich (1984), Fuelwood Consumption and Deforestation in Africa countries.

9. ERICK Eckholm et al (1984), Fuelwood: The energy crisis that won't go away.

10. E.Malinvaud (2001-2002), Substituabilite entre demande de facteurs induits par les demandes de biens, INSEE-CREST.

11. MAMA J.V. (1991), Consommation du bois dans les grandes agglomérations du Bénin. Rapport d'enquête ; Centre National de Télédétection et de surveillance du couvert forestier.

12. N'DA Paul (2002), Méthodologie de la recherche de la problématique à la discussion des résultats. Comment réaliser un mémoire, une thèse, en science sociale et en éducation ? EDUCI (Edition Universitaire de Côte d'ivoire).

13. PFEIFFER V. (1988) : Agriculture au Sud du Bénin: Passé et perspective édit Harmattan Paris

14. VAN Damme (1988), The Woodfuel and forestry situation in Togo as experienced in the «Region des Savanes« in `'Tropicultura» vol 6 n° 1.

ANNEXES

Annexes1 :

Tableau A 1: Résultats de l'estimation du part de bois de feu

Dependent Variable: PARTBF

Method: Least Squares

Date: 05/18/12 Time: 11:58

Sample(adjusted): 1 187

Included observations: 22

Excluded observations: 165 after adjusting endpoints

 

Std.

 

Variable

Coefficient Error t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(PRIBF)

-0.043588 0.081289 -0.536212

0.6048

LOG(PRICH)

-0.016141 0.069586 -0.231955

0.8218

LOG(PRIGA)

-0.727293 0.293100 -2.481383

0.0349

LOG(PRIPE)

0.944818 0.364141 2.594650

0.0290

LOG(DEPTO)

-0.068906 0.035290 -1.952552

0.0826

ENS

0.045792 0.013714 3.339053

0.0087

NAFRE

-0.091599 0.037871 -2.418724

0.0387

NIVP

0.003740 0.004372 0.855498

0.4145

NIVS

-0.038492 0.031973 -1.203905

0.2593

NIVSU

-0.043098 0.032287 -1.334809

0.2147

ACTPR

0.004746 0.004536 1.046223

0.3227

SEXE

-0.097219 0.041930 -2.318588

0.0456

AGE

6.18E-06 0.000855 0.007229

0.9944

R-squared

0.855288 Meandependent var

0.090592

Adjusted R-squared

0.662339 S.D. dependent var

0.061217

S.E. of regression

0.035572 Akaike info criterion

-3.546508

Sumsquaredresid

0.011388 Schwarz criterion

-2.901801

Log likelihood

52.01159 Durbin-Watson stat

2.983528

Tableau A 2:Résultats de l'estimation du part de charbon

Dependent Variable: PARTCH

Method: Least Squares

Date: 05/18/12 Time: 12:06

Sample(adjusted): 1 199

Included observations: 187

Excluded observations: 12 after adjusting endpoints

 

Std.

 

Variable

Coefficient Error t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(PRIBF)

0.016724 0.022874 0.731122

0.4657

LOG(PRICH)

-0.008566 0.021411 -0.400063

0.6896

LOG(PRIGA)

0.162076 0.153912 1.053042

0.2938

LOG(PRIPE)

-0.159188 0.173291 -0.918617

0.3596

LOG(DEPTO)

-0.005792 0.011492 -0.503990

0.6149

ENS

0.063252 0.008410 7.520800

0.0000

NAFRE

0.013452 0.012471 1.078668

0.2822

NIVP

-0.002931 0.005445 -0.538193

0.5911

NIVS

0.000583 0.011343 0.051373

0.9591

NIVSU

-0.024023 0.016057 -1.496097

0.1364

ACTPR

-0.000499 0.001478 -0.337860

0.7359

SEXE

0.006878 0.012730 0.540264

0.5897

AGE

-0.000478 0.000330 -1.449306

0.1491

R-squared

0.305523 Meandependent var

0.064471

Adjusted R-squared

0.257628 S.D. dependent var

0.063883

S.E. of regression

0.055042 Akaike info criterion

-2.894444

Sumsquaredresid

0.527161 Schwarz criterion

-2.669821

Log likelihood

283.6305 Durbin-Watson stat

2.098786

Tableau A 3:Résultats de l'estimation du part de gaz

Dependent Variable: PARTGA

Method: Least Squares

Date: 05/18/12 Time: 12:08

Sample(adjusted): 3 199

Included observations: 74

Excluded observations: 123 after adjusting endpoints

 

Std.

 

Variable

Coefficient Error t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(PRIBF)

-0.017006 0.015834 -1.073976

0.2871

LOG(PRICH)

-0.006472 0.012464 -0.519213

0.6055

LOG(PRIGA)

-0.071562 0.089755 -0.797298

0.4284

LOG(PRIPE)

0.088004 0.101661 0.865662

0.3901

LOG(DEPTO)

0.001575 0.011311 0.139206

0.8897

ENS

0.145686 0.008165 17.84267

0.0000

NAFRE

0.004794 0.023400 0.204880

0.8383

NIVP

0.002271 0.023729 0.095724

0.9241

NIVS

0.007973 0.023106 0.345053

0.7312

NIVSU

0.011656 0.023893 0.487852

0.6274

ACTPR

0.000310 0.001077 0.287798

0.7745

SEXE

-0.012630 0.007523 -1.678743

0.0983

AGE

-0.000235 0.000234 -1.006724

0.3180

R-squared

0.934419 Meandependent var

0.061731

Adjusted R-squared

0.921518 S.D. dependent var

0.075436

S.E. of regression

0.021133 Akaike info criterion

-4.717784

Sumsquaredresid

0.027243 Schwarz criterion

-4.313016

Log likelihood

187.5580 Durbin-Watson stat

1.527557

Tableau A 4:Résultats de l'estimation du part de pétrole

Dependent Variable: PARTPE

Method: Least Squares

Date: 05/18/12 Time: 12:11

Sample(adjusted): 2 198

Included observations: 51

Excluded observations: 146 after adjusting endpoints

 

Std.

 

Variable

Coefficient Error t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(PRIBF)

-0.028059

0.042573 -0.659078

0.5138

LOG(PRICH)

0.054138

0.044409 1.219086

0.2303

LOG(PRIGA)

0.063004

0.209425 0.300844

0.7652

LOG(PRIPE)

-0.088432

0.232519 -0.380321

0.7058

LOG(DEPTO)

0.004011

0.017651 0.227264

0.8214

ENS

0.121195

0.010424 11.62692

0.0000

NAFRE

0.030951

0.028787 1.075143

0.2891

NIVP

0.008385

0.030865 0.271663

0.7874

NIVS

0.007774

0.030054 0.258681

0.7973

NIVSU

0.023815

0.034185 0.696663

0.4903

ACTPR

0.002206

0.002007 1.099303

0.2786

SEXE

-0.010487

0.019596 -0.535149

0.5957

AGE

0.000279

0.000577 0.484369

0.6309

R-squared

0.832212

Meandependent var

0.069134

Adjusted R-squared

0.779226

S.D. dependent var

0.079517

S.E. of regression

0.037362

Akaike info criterion

-3.520754

Sumsquaredresid

0.053045

Schwarz criterion

-3.028328

Log likelihood

102.7792

Durbin-Watson stat

0.504246

Tableau A 5:Résultats des estimations du part de bois de feu

Dependent Variable: PARTBF

Method: Least Squares

Date: 05/18/12 Time: 12:34

Sample(adjusted): 1 187

Included observations: 22

Excluded observations: 165 after adjusting endpoints

 

Std.

 

Variable

Coefficient Error t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(PRIBF)

0.073525

0.060774 1.209813

0.2439

LOG(PRICH)

-0.103848

0.058081 -1.787967

0.0927

LOG(PRIGA)

-0.549447

0.305089 -1.800938

0.0906

LOG(PRIPE)

0.722263

0.370268 1.950651

0.0688

LOG(DEPTO)

-0.083494

0.034228 -2.439358

0.0267

ENS

0.046572

0.014667 3.175359

0.0059

R-squared

0.618657

Meandependent var

0.090592

Adjusted R-squared

0.499488

S.D. dependent var

0.061217

S.E. of regression

0.043309

Akaike info criterion

-3.213919

Sumsquaredresid

0.030010

Schwarz criterion

-2.916362

Log likelihood

41.35311

Durbin-Watson stat

2.802528

Tableau A 6:Résultats de l'estimation du part de charbon

Dependent Variable: PARTCH

Method: Least Squares

Date: 05/18/12 Time: 12:35

Sample(adjusted): 1 199

Included observations: 187

Excluded observations: 12 after adjusting endpoints

 

Std.

 

Variable

Coefficient Error t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(PRIBF)

0.021110

0.022587 0.934615

0.3512

LOG(PRICH)

-0.010329

0.021193 -0.487400

0.6266

LOG(PRIGA)

0.201015

0.151983 1.322611

0.1876

LOG(PRIPE)

-0.197331

0.171063 -1.153559

0.2502

LOG(DEPTO)

-0.009748

0.011088 -0.879078

0.3805

ENS

0.059793

0.008102 7.379602

0.0000

R-squared

0.276505

Meandependent var

0.064471

Adjusted R-squared

0.256519

S.D. dependent var

0.063883

S.E. of regression

0.055083

Akaike info criterion

-2.928375

Sumsquaredresid

0.549188

Schwarz criterion

-2.824703

Log likelihood

279.8031

Durbin-Watson stat

2.137777

Tableau A 7: Résultats de l'estimation du part de gaz

Dependent Variable: PARTGA

Method: Least Squares

Date: 05/18/12 Time: 12:37

Sample(adjusted): 3 199

Included observations: 74

Excluded observations: 123 after adjusting endpoints

 

Std.

 

Variable

Coefficient Error t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(PRIBF)

-0.010780

0.013611 -0.792002

0.4311

LOG(PRICH)

-0.006185

0.010944 -0.565125

0.5738

LOG(PRIGA)

-0.028170

0.085417 -0.329791

0.7426

LOG(PRIPE)

0.024025

0.095797 0.250792

0.8027

LOG(DEPTO)

0.007958

0.010273 0.774688

0.4412

ENS

0.147284

0.007384 19.94665

0.0000

R-squared

0.928189

Meandependent var

0.061731

Adjusted R-squared

0.922909

S.D. dependent var

0.075436

S.E. of regression

0.020945

Akaike info criterion

-4.816226

Sumsquaredresid

0.029831

Schwarz criterion

-4.629410

Log likelihood

184.2004

Durbin-Watson stat

1.619045

Tableau A 8:Résultats de l'estimation du part de pétrole

Dependent Variable: PARTPE

Method: Least Squares

Date: 05/18/12 Time: 12:38

Sample(adjusted): 2 198

Included observations: 51

Excluded observations: 146 after adjusting endpoints

 

Std.

 

Variable

Coefficient Error t-Statistic

Prob.

LOG(PRIBF)

-0.044548

0.036250 -1.228917

0.2255

LOG(PRICH)

0.064586

0.038305 1.686113

0.0987

LOG(PRIGA)

0.025965

0.189708 0.136870

0.8917

LOG(PRIPE)

-0.033258

0.210145 -0.158264

0.8750

LOG(DEPTO)

0.000515

0.015498 0.033207

0.9737

ENS

0.126594

0.009480 13.35406

0.0000

R-squared

0.807114

Meandependent var

0.069134

Adjusted R-squared

0.785682

S.D. dependent var

0.079517

S.E. of regression

0.036812

Akaike info criterion

-3.655863

Sumsquaredresid

0.060980

Schwarz criterion

-3.428589

Log likelihood

99.22450

Durbin-Watson stat

0.492891

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