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Analysis of microfinance performance and development of informal institutions in Cameroon

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par Brice Gaétan DJAMAMAN
Amity University (India) - Master of Finance and Control 2012
  

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VI.1- Conclusion

This research aims to find empirical evidence on a trade-off between the two types of performance namely social and financial performance. In other words, the research aims to verify or to analyse if the pursuit of social objectives enables MFIs to eventually expand their financial performance. At the same time, to analyse the development of Cameroon informal sector in relation to the mission drift of MFIs. Indeed, the problem indicates: Is there a trade-off between the social and financial performance? In other words, does the pursuit of social objectives enable MFIs to eventually expand their financial performance?

Based on the empirical evidence of the relationship between social and financial performance of MFIs, and more specifically to a typology of firms? performances, we have underlined some pertinent hypotheses to analyse. Indeed, we have assumed the influence of social performance on financial performance, the feedback relationship and the influence of social and financial performance on the development of informal institutions. The following lines give us more information on the hypotheses results.

Firstly, the research concentrates on the financial performance of MFIs. The general assumption under this hypothesis (H1) is that: social performance influences financial performance of MFIs.

? Positive link, H1a: «influence of social performance on financial performance implies a good management of MFI»;

This hypothesis has been tested in financial performance regression. As a result, there found that the overall models used to estimate the dependent variable ROA were statistically significant. In fact the observed value of F test was greater in each model than the empirical value. As summary, social performance variables influence the Return on Asset ceteris paribus. Therefore, this can confirm the positive link of good management by the MFIs. In the same idea, when ROE stands as a dependent variable in another financial regression, we reach to the same conclusion (in sub models 2 and 3). For example, under ANOVA table of ROE in the model 3,

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Analysis of microfinances' performance and development of informal institutions in Cameroon

By Djamaman Brice Gaétan

this model is statistically significant. We found with the F test that observed value 0.695 is greater than empirical value 0.409. We can conclude that this model is useful to estimate ROE. Thus social performance variables used in this model influence the dependent variable ROE, ceteris paribus (assumption of good management practice). It is important to note that the same conclusion can be drawn when Operational Self Sufficiency stands as a dependent variable

? Negative link, H1b: «influence of social performance on financial performance implies arbitration»

This hypothesis is so particular because the mission drift has been found only in one case. In fact taken as a dependent variable in sub model 1 in the financial regression analysis, social performance variables have no influence on the Return on Equity. This implies that the regression equation was not useful to estimate the ROE, because the observed value of F test was less than the empirical value.

Secondly the research focuses on hypothesis two (H2) which assumes that: «financial performance influences social performance»

? Positive link, H2a: «good financial performance enables the firm to allocate some margin to social issues»

This hypothesis has been tested in social performance regression. In fact, under the model where Average Loans/GDP is considered as an independent variable, they found that financial performance variables are useful to estimate the AL/GDP. Therefore, we can observe that all the entire sub models have a very high value of F test, and this is very significant. Indeed the results show that there is a positive link between AL and financial performance variables ceteris paribus. This implies the availability of fund by the Microfinance Institutions.

? Negative link, H2b: «financially powerful companies are the worse in terms of SP because of their leaders' greed, who do not share the margin»

This hypothesis can be verified through the social performance regression when the Commitment in Favour of Individual Related is considered as an independent variable. In fact all the entire models used here enable to prove that financial performance variables do not influence the CFIR and justify the fact that financially powerful companies are the worse in terms of SP because of their leaders? greed, who do not share the margin.

As we have mentioned earlier in our research another task was to prove the relationship between the microfinances? performance and the development of the informal sector in Cameroon. Thus we have stated two other hypotheses: 113 and 114

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Analysis of microfinances' performance and development of informal institutions in Cameroon

By Djamaman Brice Gaétan

? 113: «financial performance influences the development of informal sector»

To test the above hypothesis, we have used the informal sector regression. T test has shown in the case of Total Asset regression coefficient that independent variables (financial performance variable) influence the deposits made by the clients of small and medium size enterprises, ceteris paribus. But other regression coefficients are not significant because their T values are less than empirical value. Thus MFIs must concentrate their effort to improve their total assets, which results in the valorization of FD amount by clients.

? 114: «social performance influences the development of informal sector»

The regression applied here was the social performance regression. The Gross Loan was set as the dependent variable. In that case, we have similar results as the above conclusion. Therefore, social performance through the AL/GDP influences the Gross Loan and consequently the development of informal sector.

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