WOW !! MUCH LOVE ! SO WORLD PEACE !
Fond bitcoin pour l'amélioration du site: 1memzGeKS7CB3ECNkzSn2qHwxU6NZoJ8o
  Dogecoin (tips/pourboires): DCLoo9Dd4qECqpMLurdgGnaoqbftj16Nvp


Home | Publier un mémoire | Une page au hasard

 > 

Réglementation prudentielle: incidence sur le capital et le risque. Etude de cas: banques tunisiennes


par Oumaima Lassoued
Universite Tunis El Manar - Masterère de recherche en sciences de gestion spécialité: finance 2016
  

précédent sommaire

Bitcoin is a swarm of cyber hornets serving the goddess of wisdom, feeding on the fire of truth, exponentially growing ever smarter, faster, and stronger behind a wall of encrypted energy

Conclusion générale ...........................................................................80

Bibliographie .....................................................................................82

Listes de tableaux................................................................................88

Les Annexes

Statistique descriptive

 

CAPITAL

RISQUE

ROA

LIQUIDITE

TAILLE

PREG

Mean

0.082529

0.048396

0.007187

0.780207

22.15657

0.533333

Median

0.080068

0.045605

0.008244

0.740043

22.18983

1.000000

Maximum

0.174818

0.136056

0.080462

6.789728

22.90179

1.000000

Minimum

-0.016225

0.002539

-0.102750

0.000605

21.26270

0.000000

Std. Dev.

0.036138

0.029841

0.018628

0.651111

0.433997

0.501683

Skewness

0.339102

0.548137

-2.891032

8.857138

-0.284263

-0.133631

Kurtosis

4.693426

3.352504

22.55650

82.47825

2.209362

1.017857

 

 
 
 
 
 

 

Jarque-Bera

12.47870

4.972782

1559.584

24864.70

3.556233

15.00120

Probability

0.001951

0.083210

0.000000

0.000000

0.168956

0.000553

 

 
 
 
 
 

 

Sum

7.427642

4.355679

0.646830

70.21863

1994.091

48.00000

Sum Sq. Dev.

0.116228

0.079251

0.030884

37.73111

16.76346

22.40000

 

 
 
 
 
 

 

Observations

90

90

90

90

90

90

Matrice de corrélation

 

CAPITAL

RISQUE

TAILLE

REGU

ROA

LIQUIDITE

CAPITAL

1

0.0002995528245413064

0.535083130299968

0.6779788138913488

0.03345166374378985

0.2261697298012243

RISQUE

0.0002995528245413064

1

-0.649058445446474

0.06628450446616599

-0.4332055199565111

-0.7910893164069402

TAILLE

0.535083130299968

-0.649058445446474

1

0.2351753510857071

0.07485283814549441

0.7324800991317835

REGU

0.6779788138913488

0.06628450446616599

0.2351753510857071

1

0.196717159857015

0.0398546191439045

ROA

0.03345166374378985

-0.4332055199565111

0.07485283814549441

0.196717159857015

1

0.1183634740928553

LIQUIDITE

0.2261697298012243

-0.7910893164069402

0.7324800991317835

0.0398546191439045

0.1183634740928553

1


Méthode : Moindres Carrés Ordinaires (MCO)

§ CAPITAL

Dependent Variable: CAPITAL

 
 

Method: Panel Least Squares

 
 

Date: 09/25/16 Time: 00:00

 
 

Sample: 1 90

 
 
 

Periods included: 10

 
 

Cross-sections included: 9

 
 

Total panel (balanced) observations: 90

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

-0.404630

0.062986

-6.424130

0.0000

REGU

0.013719

0.002179

6.297348

0.0000

ROA

0.914004

0.488352

1.871608

0.0647

LIQUIDITE

0.009252

0.006046

1.530228

0.1297

TAILLE

0.019803

0.002714

7.296591

0.0000

RISQUE

0.833533

0.172074

4.844049

0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.715390

    Mean dependent var

0.091227

Adjusted R-squared

0.698449

    S.D. dependent var

0.009509

S.E. of regression

0.005222

    Akaike info criterion

-7.607705

Sum squared resid

0.002290

    Schwarz criterion

-7.441051

Log likelihood

348.3467

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-7.540500

F-statistic

42.22812

    Durbin-Watson stat

2.060818

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

§ RISQUE

Dependent Variable: RISQUE

 
 

Method: Panel Least Squares

 
 

Date: 09/25/16 Time: 00:02

 
 

Sample: 1 90

 
 
 

Periods included: 10

 
 

Cross-sections included: 9

 
 

Total panel (balanced) observations: 90

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

0.253786

0.033054

7.677854

0.0000

REGU

0.000632

0.001480

0.427041

0.6704

ROA

-1.675179

0.211348

-7.926149

0.0000

LIQUIDITE

-0.019960

0.002658

-7.509033

0.0000

TAILLE

-0.009536

0.001643

-5.803843

0.0000

CAPITAL

0.261956

0.054078

4.844049

0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.843087

    Mean dependent var

0.040955

Adjusted R-squared

0.833747

    S.D. dependent var

0.007179

S.E. of regression

0.002927

    Akaike info criterion

-8.765201

Sum squared resid

0.000720

    Schwarz criterion

-8.598547

Log likelihood

400.4341

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-8.697997

F-statistic

90.26588

    Durbin-Watson stat

1.640869

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


Test Hausman

§ CAPITAL

 
 
 
 
 


Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test

 

Equation: Untitled

 
 

Test cross-section random effects

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Test Summary

Chi-Sq. Statistic

Chi-Sq. d.f.

Prob. 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-section random

0.000000

5

1.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

* Cross-section test variance is invalid. Hausman statistic set to zero.

** WARNING: estimated cross-section random effects variance is zero.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

§ RISQUE


Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test

 

Equation: Untitled

 
 

Test cross-section random effects

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Test Summary

Chi-Sq. Statistic

Chi-Sq. d.f.

Prob. 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-section random

0.000000

5

1.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

* Cross-section test variance is invalid. Hausman statistic set to zero.

** WARNING: estimated cross-section random effects variance is zero.

 
 
 
 
 

Méthode : Moindres Carrés Ordinaires Regroupés (MCOR) (Pooled OLS)

§ CAPITAL

Dependent Variable: CAPITAL

 
 

Method: Pooled Least Squares

 
 

Date: 09/06/16 Time: 17:30

 
 

Sample: 1 90

 
 
 

Included observations: 90

 
 

Cross-sections included: 7

 
 

Total pool (balanced) observations: 630

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

-0.404630

0.023110

-17.50923

0.0000

REGU

0.013719

0.000799

17.16368

0.0000

ROA

0.914004

0.179176

5.101144

0.0000

LIQUIDITE

0.009252

0.002218

4.170699

0.0000

TAILLE

0.019803

0.000996

19.88716

0.0000

RISQUE

0.833533

0.063134

13.20265

0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.715390

    Mean dependent var

0.091227

Adjusted R-squared

0.713109

    S.D. dependent var

0.009463

S.E. of regression

0.005069

    Akaike info criterion

-7.721990

Sum squared resid

0.016032

    Schwarz criterion

-7.679650

Log likelihood

2438.427

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-7.705544

F-statistic

313.6946

    Durbin-Watson stat

1.906781

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

§ RISQUE

Dependent Variable: RISQUE

 
 

Method: Pooled Least Squares

 
 

Date: 09/06/16 Time: 17:53

 
 

Sample: 1 90

 
 
 

Included observations: 90

 
 

Cross-sections included: 7

 
 

Total pool (balanced) observations: 630

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

ROA

-1.675179

0.077544

-21.60304

0.0000

LIQUIDITE

-0.019960

0.000975

-20.46618

0.0000

CAPITAL

0.261956

0.019841

13.20265

0.0000

TAILLE

-0.009536

0.000603

-15.81861

0.0000

REGU

0.000632

0.000543

1.163918

0.2449

C

0.253786

0.012128

20.92630

0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.843087

    Mean dependent var

0.040955

Adjusted R-squared

0.841830

    S.D. dependent var

0.007145

S.E. of regression

0.002842

    Akaike info criterion

-8.879487

Sum squared resid

0.005038

    Schwarz criterion

-8.837147

Log likelihood

2803.038

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-8.863041

F-statistic

670.5465

    Durbin-Watson stat

1.511988

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


Méthode : Moindres Carrés Ordinaires à deuxième stage (MCO2)

§ CAPITAL

Dependent Variable: CAPITAL

 
 

Method: Panel Two-Stage Least Squares

 

Date: 09/07/16 Time: 01:48

 
 

Sample: 1 90

 
 
 

Periods included: 9

 
 

Cross-sections included: 9

 
 

Total panel (balanced) observations: 81

 

Instrument specification: C RISQUE(-1) LIQUIDITE TAILLE REGU ROA

Constant added to instrument list

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

0.192682

0.035364

5.448503

0.0000

REGU

0.010609

0.000860

12.33424

0.0000

ROA

-0.131544

0.151850

-0.866277

0.3894

LIQUIDITE

0.131917

0.005581

23.63835

0.0000

TAILLE

-0.006943

0.001599

-4.342386

0.0000

RISQUE(-1)

-0.764351

0.049706

-15.37734

0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Effects Specification

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.968698

    Mean dependent var

0.091157

Adjusted R-squared

0.962624

    S.D. dependent var

0.010027

S.E. of regression

0.001938

    Sum squared resid

0.000252

F-statistic

159.4953

    Durbin-Watson stat

2.262927

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

    Second-Stage SSR

0.000252

Instrument rank

14

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

§ RISQUE


Dependent Variable: RISQUE

 
 

Method: Panel Tow-stage Least Squares

 
 

Date: 09/06/16 Time: 17:56

 
 

Sample: 1 90

 
 
 

Periods included: 9

 
 

Cross-sections included: 9

 
 

Total panel (balanced) observations: 81

 

RISQUE= C(1) +C(2)*CAPITAL(-1)+C(3)*TAILLE +C(4)*LIQUIDITE+C(5)

        *ROA +C(6)*REGU

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C(1)

0.175767

0.025865

6.795490

0.0000

C(2)

-0.082373

0.057129

-1.441870

0.1535

C(3)

-0.005908

0.001324

-4.462781

0.0000

C(4)

0.030231

0.006275

4.817857

0.0000

C(5)

-1.638932

0.306702

-5.343723

0.0000

C(6)

0.001021

0.001115

0.915708

0.3628

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.585526

    Mean dependent var

0.038871

Adjusted R-squared

0.557894

    S.D. dependent var

0.003655

S.E. of regression

0.002430

    Akaike info criterion

-9.130509

Sum squared resid

0.000443

    Schwarz criterion

-8.953142

Log likelihood

375.7856

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-9.059347

F-statistic

21.19043

    Durbin-Watson stat

2.253855

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Test-WALD

§ CAPITAL

Wald Test:

 
 

Equation: Untitled

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Test Statistic

Value

df

Probability

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

t-statistic

 13.04985

 75

 0.0000

F-statistic

 170.2986

(1, 75)

 0.0000

Chi-square

 170.2986

 1

 0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Null Hypothesis: C(6)=0

 

Null Hypothesis Summary:

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Normalized Restriction (= 0)

Value

Std. Err.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C(6)

 0.010609

 0.000813

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Restrictions are linear in coefficients.


§ RISQUE


Wald Test:

 
 

Equation: Untitled

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Test Statistic

Value

Df

Probability

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

t-statistic

 0.915708

 75

 0.3628

F-statistic

 0.838522

(1, 75)

 0.3628

Chi-square

 0.838522

 1

 0.3598

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Null Hypothesis: C(6)=0

 

Null Hypothesis Summary:

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Normalized Restriction (= 0)

Value

Std. Err.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C(6)

 0.001021

 0.001115

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Restrictions are linear in coefficients.

Méthode : Effet Fixe

§ CAPITAL

Dependent Variable: CAPITAL

 
 

Method: Panel Least Squares

 
 

Date: 09/06/16 Time: 17:51

 
 

Sample: 1 90

 
 
 

Periods included: 9

 
 

Cross-sections included: 9

 
 

Total panel (balanced) observations: 81

 

CAPITAL= C(1)+ C(2)*RISQUE(-1)+ C(3)*ROA+C(4)*TAILLE+ C(5)

        *LIQUIDITE+C(6)*REGU

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C(1)

0.192682

0.035364

5.448503

0.0000

C(2)

-0.764351

0.049706

-15.37734

0.0000

C(3)

-0.131544

0.151850

-0.866277

0.3894

C(4)

-0.006943

0.001599

-4.342386

0.0000

C(5)

0.131917

0.005581

23.63835

0.0000

C(6)

0.010609

0.000860

12.33424

0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Effects Specification

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.968698

    Mean dependent var

0.091157

Adjusted R-squared

0.962624

    S.D. dependent var

0.010027

S.E. of regression

0.001938

    Akaike info criterion

-9.497920

Sum squared resid

0.000252

    Schwarz criterion

-9.084065

Log likelihood

398.6658

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-9.331876

F-statistic

159.4953

    Durbin-Watson stat

2.262927

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


§ RISQUE

Dependent Variable: RISQUE

 
 

Method: Panel Least Squares

 
 

Date: 09/06/16 Time: 17:58

 
 

Sample: 1 90

 
 
 

Periods included: 9

 
 

Cross-sections included: 9

 
 

Total panel (balanced) observations: 81

 

RISQUE= C(1) +C(2)*CAPITAL(-1)+C(3)*TAILLE +C(4)*LIQUIDITE+C(5)

        *ROA +C(6)*REGU

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C(1)

0.175767

0.027366

6.422846

0.0000

C(2)

-0.082373

0.060444

-1.362803

0.1775

C(3)

-0.005908

0.001401

-4.218056

0.0001

C(4)

0.030231

0.006639

4.553661

0.0000

C(5)

-1.638932

0.324497

-5.050690

0.0000

C(6)

0.001021

0.001179

0.865494

0.3899

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Effects Specification

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.585526

    Mean dependent var

0.038871

Adjusted R-squared

0.505105

    S.D. dependent var

0.003655

S.E. of regression

0.002571

    Akaike info criterion

-8.932978

Sum squared resid

0.000443

    Schwarz criterion

-8.519122

Log likelihood

375.7856

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-8.766933

F-statistic

7.280814

    Durbin-Watson stat

2.253855

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Méthode : Moindres Carrés Ordinaires à troisième stage : (MCO3) SUR

§ CAPITAL

System: UNTITLED

 
 

Estimation Method: Three-Stage Least Squares

 

Date: 09/18/16 Time: 21:34

 
 

Sample: 1 90

 
 
 

Included observations: 90

 
 

Total system (balanced) observations 90

 

Linear estimation after one-step weighting matrix

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C(1)

-0.404630

0.060850

-6.649606

0.0000

C(2)

0.019803

0.002622

7.552690

0.0000

C(3)

0.013719

0.002105

6.518375

0.0000

C(4)

0.914004

0.471793

1.937299

0.0561

C(5)

0.009252

0.005841

1.583937

0.1170

C(6)

0.833533

0.166239

5.014067

0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Determinant residual covariance

2.54E-05

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Equation: CAPITAL = C(1) + C(2)*TAILLE + C(3)*REGU + C(4)*ROA + C(5)

        *LIQUIDITE + C(6)*RISQUE 

 

Instruments: CAPITAL C TAILLE REGU ROA LIQUIDITE RISQUE

Observations: 90

 
 

R-squared

0.715390

    Mean dependent var

0.091227

Adjusted R-squared

0.698449

    S.D. dependent var

0.009509

S.E. of regression

0.005222

    Sum squared resid

0.002290

Durbin-Watson stat

1.888621

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

§ RISQUE

System: UNTITLED

 
 

Estimation Method: Three-Stage Least Squares

 

Date: 09/18/16 Time: 21:36

 
 

Sample: 1 90

 
 
 

Included observations: 90

 
 

Total system (balanced) observations 90

 

Linear estimation after one-step weighting matrix

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C(1)

0.253786

0.031934

7.947334

0.0000

C(2)

-0.009536

0.001587

-6.007548

0.0000

C(3)

0.000632

0.001430

0.442030

0.6596

C(4)

-1.675179

0.204182

-8.204344

0.0000

C(5)

-0.019960

0.002568

-7.772588

0.0000

C(6)

0.261956

0.052244

5.014067

0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Determinant residual covariance

8.00E-06

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Equation: RISQUE = C(1) + C(2)*TAILLE + C(3)*REGU + C(4)*ROA + C(5)

        *LIQUIDITE + C(6)*CAPITAL 

 

Instruments: RISQUE C TAILLE REGU ROA LIQUIDITE CAPITAL

Observations: 90

 
 

R-squared

0.843087

    Mean dependent var

0.040955

Adjusted R-squared

0.833747

    S.D. dependent var

0.007179

S.E. of regression

0.002927

    Sum squared resid

0.000720

Durbin-Watson stat

1.497588

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

précédent sommaire










La Quadrature du Net

Ligue des droits de l'homme