WOW !! MUCH LOVE ! SO WORLD PEACE !
Fond bitcoin pour l'amélioration du site: 1memzGeKS7CB3ECNkzSn2qHwxU6NZoJ8o
  Dogecoin (tips/pourboires): DCLoo9Dd4qECqpMLurdgGnaoqbftj16Nvp


Home | Publier un mémoire | Une page au hasard

 > 

Valuation Methods of Executive Stock Options

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Ismaïl Pomiès
Université de Toulouse - Master recherche Marchés et Intermédiaires Financiers 2007
  

précédent sommaire suivant

Bitcoin is a swarm of cyber hornets serving the goddess of wisdom, feeding on the fire of truth, exponentially growing ever smarter, faster, and stronger behind a wall of encrypted energy

3.2 The Private Price and its Black & Scholes counterpart

During the previous subsection we have derived an explicit form to the Executive Private Price. We have built an incomplete market framework in order to understand how could be the behaviour of an executive with an ESO. We know that in Black&Scholes (B & S) framework failed to fair-valued a such option since assumptions such that unconstrained portfolio and riskless agent are unrealistic. Intuitively, we could say that B & S valuation overstate the fair value of an ESO: the B & S price is an upper bound of the fair price. The idea here is to define an approximate expression of the Private Price derived previously and compare it by the B & S value. First of all we are going to deal with some key statistical concepts and subsequently use an analytical tool (perturbation expansion) in order to approximate the Executive Private Price. This will allow us to derive the Executive Private Price as the B & S price plus a negative pertubation. And finally we are going to conclude that B & S price overstate the fair-value of an ESO.

3.2.1 Skewness and Kurtosis

A random variable could be defined with its moment. Mean and variance which are the most wellknown moment of a random variable are respectively the first moment and second central moment. But some higher moment are interesting such that skewness and kurtosis which are respectively the third and fourth central moment.

This moment are interesting since it measure respectively the lopsidedness and the degree to which a statistical frequency curve is peaked. But in our problem, this moments will serve us to give an polynomial expression to the Private price.

Considere first the expression of the skewness and secondly the one of kurtosis.

By the definition of skew(X) we get:

~u3skew(X) = u3 -- 3u1u2 + 2u2 1 Where uk = E [(X)k] , ?k E N (34)
Definition 3.2.2. Kurtosis

The kurtosis is the relative peakness or flatness of a distribution compared with the Gaussian distribution. Let X the same random variable as previously. Thus the fourth standardized central moment of X is written by kurt(X) and is defined by:

E[(X -- u1)4]

kurt(X) :=

3 (35)

u4

By definition of kurt(X) we get:

u4kurt(X) = u4 -- 3u22 + 12u21u2 -- 4u1u3 -- 60. (36)

In the next part we will derive a polynomial form for the Executive Private Price.

3.2.2 The perturbative expansion

By Taylor argument we can approximate each n-differentiable function by its n orders differentials. The idea in this part is to derive a tractable polynomial expression of the Executive Private Price in order to reveal the B & S valuation and thus to be able to compare this two valuation. By equation (3.1) we have an explicit form of the private price.

?ñ2)(S,--K)+ | St = S, Xt = x] )

e--r(T--t)

p(t, s) =-- log(EP0 [e?ã(1

ã(1 -- ñ2)

Let E := ã(1-- ñ2), z := (St -- K)+, f (Ez) = e-€z - 1 and y := EP0 [f (Ez) | St = S, Xt = x] = Ellt°,08,x [Ez]. Thus the polynomial expansion of the function e-€z and log(1 + y) at 0 to the order 4 for the first one and to order 1 for the other one as the following expression:

8

<>> >

>>>:

(Ez)2

e-€z = 1 -- Ez

2!

(Ez)3 + (Ez)4 O(E4)

3! 4!

log(1 + y) = y + O(y),?|y|= 1

Suppose that uk := EP0 ((ST --K)+)k | St = S, Xt = x = Ellt',08,x

e

p(t, s) --

log (1 -- Eu1 + E2 u2 --Eu3 +E4u41

2! 3! E4!

-r(T-t)

~e-r(T-t)2 E2 2 E3 3

Eu1 + 2! (u2 -- + 2! u1 -- 3! (u3 -- 3u1u2 + 2u21) +

3!3 -- 3! 1 2E3 u2 + E4 4! u4 )


·
·
·

~ ~

e-r(T-t) E2 E

EEPt ,x 2! ,8 [z] + V tP0,x [z] -- E3 skewP0 (z) + 4! kurtP 0 (z) +

3! é

E

e-r(T-t) (4,08,x [z] vir0

L 2! .,8,x !

[z] + E 32 skewP0 (z) -- 4E! kurtP0 (z) -- é)

E

(37)

Where é = €22u21 + €33! (3u1u2 -- 2u21) + €43! (3u2 2 -- 12u21u2 + 4u1u3 +

6u41)

3.2.3 Comments

We have found in the previous part a nice form of the Executive Private Price. In fact we can write the Indifference Price as a linear function of the n-moments of the option payoff.

Without complex calculus in order to find the explicit Private Price expression with all variables defined in the model we can reduce the previous expression and consider only terms with epsilon-power strictly lower than two. In fact we assume that ~n 0, {?n E N n n = 2}

Thus the simplified form of the Executive Private Price is:

~ ~

[(ST - K)+] - ã(1 - ñ2)

p(t, s) e-r(T -t) E 0 V 0 [(ST - K)+] + E 0 [((ST - K)+)2]))

t,s,x t,s,x t,s,x

2

p(t, s) pBS(t, s) - Ø(f, S)

Where Ø(f, S) > 0 and

pBS (t, s) is the price of an european call option in B & S framework.

(38) Finally we have shown by a polynomial approximation that the fair-price of an ESO is lower than the price derived in B & S. This inequality come from the risk-aversion of the Executive which cannot perfectly hedge her risk with the set of constraints which are imposed to her.

précédent sommaire suivant






Bitcoin is a swarm of cyber hornets serving the goddess of wisdom, feeding on the fire of truth, exponentially growing ever smarter, faster, and stronger behind a wall of encrypted energy








"I don't believe we shall ever have a good money again before we take the thing out of the hand of governments. We can't take it violently, out of the hands of governments, all we can do is by some sly roundabout way introduce something that they can't stop ..."   Friedrich Hayek (1899-1992) en 1984