ANNEXES
Bases des données
|
OBS
|
IPC
|
TC
|
M2
|
|
2004 :06
|
122.070.425,4
|
390,52
|
167.354.239
|
|
2004 :07
|
124.270.086,2
|
389,44
|
168.569.022
|
|
2004 :08
|
126.787.025,6
|
396,42
|
171.642.831
|
|
2004 :09
|
129.842.934,7
|
428,54
|
183.122.759
|
|
2004 :10
|
136.175.710,5
|
418,27
|
192.859.394
|
|
2004 :11
|
137.546.978,4
|
438,98
|
196.564.710
|
|
2004 :12
|
140.186.761,0
|
453,08
|
222.226.541
|
|
2005 :01
|
147.437.292,2
|
459,93
|
242.434.217
|
|
2005 :02
|
149.025.069,9
|
481,87
|
253.145.897
|
|
2005 :03
|
152.169.206,7
|
502,5
|
269.340.133
|
|
2005 :04
|
160.564.382,6
|
514,68
|
262.659.242
|
|
2005 :05
|
161.635.347,9
|
507,1
|
252.259.385
|
|
2005 :06
|
161.108.176,9
|
501,94
|
252.357.757
|
|
2005 :07
|
164.533.766,5
|
493,34
|
263.257.822
|
|
2005 :08
|
163.763.951,5
|
471,1
|
25.852.252
|
|
2005 :09
|
165.712.737,6
|
460,58
|
260.322.797
|
|
2005 :10
|
167.729.482,0
|
458,56
|
279.572.304
|
|
2005 :11
|
168.359.969,3
|
450,22
|
272.406.536
|
|
2005 :12
|
170.620.518,4
|
434,31
|
2.788.134.467
|
|
2006 :01
|
173.450.347,2
|
437,52
|
280.929.706
|
|
2006 :02
|
174.946.758,4
|
438,23
|
286.903.308
|
|
2006 :03
|
176.690.417,6
|
444,52
|
301.436.383
|
|
2006 :04
|
177.883.057,2
|
442,83
|
307.722.564
|
|
2006 :05
|
178.331.470,7
|
450,07
|
319.206.974
|
|
2006 :06
|
180.913.753,0
|
452,87
|
324.556.412
|
|
2006 :07
|
182.996.800,4
|
462,37
|
330.694.306
|
|
2006 :08
|
186.643.943,5
|
476,81
|
379.710.489
|
|
2006 :09
|
191.767.448,6
|
509,73
|
386.597.500
|
|
2006 :10
|
196.087.767,4
|
536,47
|
406.890.123
|
|
2006 :11
|
205.724.749,9
|
533,49
|
420.157.305
|
|
2006 :12
|
209.014.056,4
|
515,92
|
4.369.222.000
|
|
2007 :01
|
218.058.162,3
|
514,5
|
462.418.000
|
|
2007 :02
|
225.361.230,0
|
574 ,5
|
486.926.000
|
|
2007 :03
|
231.978.867,4
|
560
|
490.736.000
|
|
2007 :04
|
241.648.098,4
|
547
|
475.681.000
|
|
2007 :05
|
243.964.659,1
|
495,46
|
463.240.000
|
|
2007 :06
|
247.908.502,5
|
497,5
|
464.833.000
|
|
2007 :07
|
250.790.543,6
|
494,5
|
468.725.000
|
|
2007 :08
|
254.403.765,5
|
497,5
|
495.427.000
|
|
2007 :09
|
262.430.880,0
|
501,5
|
520.244.000
|
|
2007 :10
|
266.897.468,2
|
503,5
|
566.9925.000
|
|
2007 :11
|
273.604.863,7
|
507
|
612.678.000
|
|
2007 :12
|
279.034.594,9
|
510,5
|
658.814.000
|
|
2008 :01
|
281.789.810,8
|
535,5
|
704.724.000
|
|
2008 :02
|
287.854.690,0
|
560
|
747.213.000
|
|
2008 :03
|
294.464.721,8
|
562,5
|
772.446.000
|
|
2008 :04
|
299.493.844,4
|
563,5
|
797.315.000
|
|
2008 :05
|
305.307.298,5
|
562
|
819.073.000
|
|
2008 :06
|
310.498.756,6
|
565,5
|
849.248.000
|
|
2008 :07
|
316.109.375,2
|
564,5
|
877.314.000
|
|
2008 :08
|
322.554.102,1
|
566,5
|
884.127.000
|
|
2008 :09
|
327.303.234,9
|
576, 25
|
90.667.000
|
|
2008 :10
|
333.302.358,1
|
585
|
908.700.000
|
|
2008 :11
|
340.900.755,9
|
602
|
9.056.700.000
|
|
2008 :12
|
343.512.822,3
|
604
|
1.037.692.000
|
|
2009 :01
|
362.092.428,03
|
722,50
|
1.067.116.000
|
|
2009 :02
|
370.809.924,13
|
788,00
|
1.150.294.000
|
|
2009 :03
|
378.943.760,3
|
831,50
|
1.196.178.000
|
|
2009 :04
|
387.014.898,2
|
785,00
|
1.125.680.000
|
|
2009 :05
|
392.890.643,97
|
785,00
|
1.109.983.000
|
|
2009 :06
|
395.173.981,01
|
765,50
|
1.125.629.000
|
Source : condensé d'informations statistiques de
la BCC de 2004 à 2009
Tableau n°10 : Relation masse
monétaire - prix
|
Dépendent variable : LIPC
|
|
Method : least squares
|
|
Date : 12/06/011 time : 13 : 32
|
|
Sample : 2004 :06 2009 :06
|
|
Included observation : 61
|
|
variable
|
coefficient
|
Std.error
|
t-statistic
|
prob
|
|
C
|
2.062746
|
24301.91
|
32.93743
|
0.0000
|
|
LM2
|
1.049462
|
78.76506
|
11.78078
|
0.0000
|
|
R-squared
|
0.837416
|
Mean dépendent var
|
536265.3
|
|
Adjusted R-Squared
|
0.9557316
|
S.D.dependent var
|
93362.52
|
|
S.E. of regression
|
19288.76
|
AKaiKe info criterion
|
22.62036
|
|
Sum squared resid
|
2.164322
|
Schwarz criterion
|
22.72418
|
|
Log liKeliihood
|
686.9210
|
F-statisic
|
673.8423
|
|
Durbin-watson stat
|
1.2375536
|
Pro (F-Statisic)
|
0.000000
|
Source : calcul de l'auteur effectué à
Eviews
Tableau n°11 : Relation masse
monétaire - taux de change
|
Dépendent variable : LTx
|
|
Method : least squares
|
|
Date :12/06/011 time :13:32
|
|
Sample :2004:O6 2009:06
|
|
Included observation :61
|
|
variable
|
coefficient
|
Std.error
|
t-statistic
|
prob
|
|
C
|
1.251893
|
O.343220
|
3.647491
|
0.0000
|
|
LM2
|
0.251359
|
0.18270
|
13.757943
|
0.0000
|
|
R-squared
|
0.762366
|
Mean dépendent var
|
5.972069
|
|
Adjusted R-Squared
|
0.758338
|
S.D.dependent var
|
0.151726
|
|
S.E. of regression
|
0.74587
|
AKaiKe info criterion
|
2.321463
|
|
Sum squared resid
|
0.328230
|
Schwarz criterion
|
2.252254
|
|
Log liKeliihood
|
72.80461
|
F-statistic
|
189.2811
|
|
Durbin-watson stat
|
1.779755
|
Pro (F-statistic)
|
0.000000
|
Source : calcul de l'auteur effectué à
Eviews
|
|
