Conclusion: PNG est stationnaire
ANNEXE 3 : TETS DE STATIONNARITE EN DIFFERENCE
SECONDE DES VARIABLES
Tableau ne3 : Tests de stationnarité en
difference seconde des variables Credit a l'Economie (L CE)
ADF Test Statistic -5.060925 1% Critical Value*
-3.9228
5% Critical Value -3.0659
10% Critical Value -2.6745
*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of
a unit root. Conclusion: LCE est stationnaire
Investissement prive (LINVpriv)
ADF Test Statistic -3.898343 1% Critical Value*
-3.9228
5% Critical Value -3.0659
10% Critical Value -2.6745
*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of
a unit root. Conclusion: LINpriv est stationnaire
Masse monetaire (LMAS)
ADF Test Statistic -3.515255 1% Critical Value* -3.9228
5% Critical Value -3.0659
10% Critical Value -2.6745
*MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit
root. Conclusion: LMAS est stationnaire
ANNEXE 4 : Base de données
Tableau n° 4 : Base de données
|
Années
|
PIB
|
CE
|
DB
|
IVNpriv
|
INVpub
|
CI
|
PNG
|
EP
|
MAS
|
CF
|
IMP
|
|
1988
|
674,74
|
70,40
|
62,20
|
75,81
|
41,05
|
100,80
|
30,40
|
27,39
|
111,10
|
647,35
|
208,33
|
|
1989
|
702,92
|
84,40
|
54,80
|
92,61
|
40,13
|
109,10
|
24,70
|
68,13
|
102,60
|
634,79
|
201,88
|
|
1990
|
685,33
|
84,40
|
46,90
|
92,53
|
35,70
|
90,20
|
5,80
|
54,56
|
94,20
|
630,78
|
225,85
|
|
1991
|
765,83
|
86,40
|
60,00
|
92,25
|
49,61
|
87,50
|
1,10
|
40,55
|
107,40
|
725,28
|
240,20
|
|
1992
|
741,18
|
92,60
|
60,90
|
98,42
|
45,09
|
89,40
|
-3,20
|
67,52
|
108,30
|
673,66
|
253,79
|
|
1993
|
764,69
|
95,30
|
65,10
|
100,28
|
44,37
|
99,70
|
4,40
|
55,72
|
117,77
|
708,97
|
242,54
|
|
1994
|
793,60
|
87,20
|
83,79
|
179,36
|
70,38
|
119,20
|
32,10
|
107,58
|
174,09
|
686,02
|
427,57
|
|
1995
|
800,91
|
131,80
|
90,60
|
213,47
|
86,69
|
136,90
|
5,10
|
103,36
|
198,10
|
697,55
|
495,56
|
|
1996
|
857,42
|
173,19
|
197,50
|
219,36
|
97,73
|
149,45
|
-23,74
|
103,14
|
317,92
|
754,28
|
478,23
|
|
1997
|
898,82
|
200,41
|
215,87
|
237,30
|
110,79
|
176,48
|
-23,94
|
152,15
|
345,33
|
746,68
|
522,81
|
|
1998
|
971,35
|
254,96
|
224,89
|
178,21
|
127,23
|
229,00
|
-25,95
|
146,86
|
360,22
|
824,50
|
537,79
|
|
1999
|
1031,44
|
291,62
|
241,31
|
192,63
|
120,42
|
269,49
|
-22,14
|
182,41
|
365,00
|
849,04
|
601,92
|
|
2000
|
998,98
|
284,50
|
260,35
|
232,82
|
123,57
|
247,05
|
-37,45
|
201,62
|
408,48
|
797,36
|
659,96
|
|
2001
|
1110,51
|
338,46
|
308,20
|
252,35
|
168,27
|
319,72
|
-18,75
|
250,52
|
487,25
|
859,99
|
847,47
|
|
2002
|
1159,26
|
411,52
|
378,86
|
267,04
|
172,47
|
384,03
|
-27,49
|
255,71
|
626,25
|
903,56
|
766,32
|
|
2003
|
1248,36
|
482,76
|
445,25
|
257,51
|
185,00
|
407,83
|
-74,93
|
332,47
|
786,16
|
915,90
|
854,70
|
|
2004
|
1269,23
|
515,55
|
491,84
|
251,93
|
194,71
|
455,84
|
-59,70
|
174,74
|
767,20
|
1109,07
|
858,30
|
|
2005
|
1347,07
|
482,21
|
511,91
|
246,96
|
199,74
|
453,81
|
-28,39
|
252,32
|
856,85
|
1109,35
|
952,50
|
|
2006
|
1417,81
|
575,23
|
588,20
|
286,48
|
242,08
|
447,06
|
-128,17
|
245,19
|
931,95
|
1188,79
|
1052,97
|
|
2007
|
1478,74
|
619,10
|
658,79
|
337,91
|
271,08
|
489,90
|
-129,20
|
192,23
|
1041,90
|
1266,00
|
1101,64
|
Source : Direction Nationale de la Statistique et de
l'Informatique (DNSI)
|
|
