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Impact du tarif extérieur commun appliqué en zone UEMOA sur le commerce intra-communautaire

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Yves Valéry Franck BEZEME
Université de COCODY - DEA de Macroéconomie Appliquée 2007
  

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Détail des résultats de l'estimation pour la sous-période 1996-2000

xttobit ln_xijt_ ln_pibip ln_pibti ln_supis ln_disti sans_fm frij lgij umijt ummijt if year<=2000

Obtaining starting values for full model:

Iteration 0: log likelihood = -4642.048

Iteration 1: log likelihood = -4641.9381

Iteration 2: log likelihood = -4641.9381

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0: log likelihood = -4641.9414

Iteration 1: log likelihood = -4641.9414

Random-effects tobit regression Number of obs = 1672

Group variable (i) : pairid Number of groups = 334

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian Obs per group: min = 4

avg = 5.0

max = 10

Wald chi2(9) = 703.56

Log likelihood = -4641.9414 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

ln_xijt_ | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

+

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

ln_pibip

|

1.399253

.0825308

16.95

0.000

1.237496

1.56101

ln_pibti

|

-.0297954

.0677339

-0.44

0.660

-.1625513

.1029605

ln_supis

|

-.0153198

.0740901

-0.21

0.836

-.129894

.1605337

ln_disti

|

-2.040926

.2316971

-8.81

0.000

-2.495044

-1.586808

sans_fm

|

-1.194086

.2634446

-4.53

0.000

-1.710428

-.677744

frij

|

.7685053

.6439287

1.19

0.233

-.4935718

2.030582

lgij

|

1.083571

.3321051

3.26

0.001

.4326568

1.734485

umijt

|

2.590304

.5892161

4.40

0.000

1.435461

3.745146

ummijt

|

-.0140322

.2987093

-0.05

0.963

-.5994916

.5714272

_cons

|

-8.486339

1.720634

-4.93

0.000

-11.85872

-5.113958

+

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

/sigma_u

|

1.616754

.1295796

12.48

0.000

1.362782

1.870725

/sigma_e

|

3.626906

.0701561

51.70

0.000

3.489402

3.764409

+

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

rho

|

.1657685

.0240453

 
 

.1229621

.2171839

Observation summary: 0 left-censored observations

1672 uncensored observations
0 right-censored observations

. ereturn list
Scalars:

 
 

e(rc)

=

0

e(ll)

=

-4641.94140625

e(converged)

=

1

e(ic)

=

1

e(df_m)

=

9

e(chi2)

=

703.5553687634891

e(p)

=

1.1899199396e-145

e(N_g)

=

334

e(g_min)

=

4

e(g_avg)

=

5.005988023952096

e(g_max)

=

10

e(N_c1)

=

1672

 
 
 

e(N) = 1672

e(sigma_e) = 3.626905572392015 e(sigma_u) = 1.616753822195872

macros:

e(cmd) : "xttobit"

e (ivar) : "pairid"
e(depvar) : "ln_xijt_"

e(title) : "Random-effects tobit regression"

e(distrib) : "Gaussian"

Détail des résultats de l'estimation pour la sous-période 2001-2005

.xttobit ln_xijt_ ln_pibip ln_pibti ln_supis ln_disti sans_fm frij lgij umijt ummijt if year>2000

Obtaining starting values for full model:

Iteration 0: log likelihood = -4635.1009

Iteration 1: log likelihood = -4623.8774

Iteration 2: log likelihood = -4623.7407

Iteration 3: log likelihood = -4623.7406

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0: log likelihood = -4623.7593

Iteration 1: log likelihood = -4623.7593

Random-effects tobit regression Number of obs = 1666

Group variable (i) : pairid Number of groups = 334

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian Obs per group: min = 3

avg = 5.0

max = 10

Wald chi2(9) = 253.45

Log likelihood = -4623.7593 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

ln_xijt_ | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

+

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

ln_pibip

|

.000063

.000034

1.85

0.064

-3.65e-06

.0001296

ln_pibti

|

1.085695

.1109033

9.79

0.000

.8683284

1.303061

ln_supis

|

-.8618969

.1193957

-7.22

0.000

.6278857

1.095908

ln_disti

|

-1.73932

.4393934

-3.96

0.000

-2.600515

-.8781246

sans_fm

|

-3.366318

.5308851

-6.34

0.000

-4.406834

-2.325803

frij

|

2.69566

1.351883

1.99

0.046

.0460173

5.345303

lgij

|

1.234761

.6855053

1.80

0.072

-.1088045

2.578327

umijt

|

2.404945

1.229591

1.96

0.050

-.0050091

4.8149

ummijt

|

-1.331473

.610548

-2.18

0.029

-2.528125

-.1348212

_cons

|

-10.55153

3.577876

-2.95

0.003

-17.56404

-3.539021

+

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

/sigma_u

|

4.626544

.1994319

23.20

0.000

4.235665

5.017423

/sigma_e

|

3.006704

.0586173

51.29

0.000

2.891816

3.121592

+

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

rho

|

.703064

.0202174

 
 

.6622945

.7414213

Observation summary: 0 left-censored observations

1666 uncensored observations
0 right-censored observations

. ereturn list

scalars:

 

e(rc)
e(ll)
e(converged)
e(ic)
e(df_m)

= = = = =

0 -4623.75927734375

1 1

9

 
 

e(p)

=

1.86194500382e-49

 
 

e(N_g)

=

334

 
 

e(g_min)

=

3

 
 

e(g_avg)

=

4.988023952095809

 
 

e(g_max)

=

10

 
 

e(N_c1)

=

1666

 
 

e(N)

=

1666

 
 

e(sigma_e)

=

3.006704095631982

 
 

e(sigma_u)

=

4.626544093357938

 

macros:

 
 
 
 
 

e(cmd)

:

"xttobit"

 
 

e (ivar)

:

"pairid"

 
 

e(depvar)

:

"ln_xijt_"

 
 

e(title)

:

"Random-effects tobit

regression"

 

e(distrib)

:

"Gaussian"

 

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