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Public debt of Togo: an attempt to identify the explanatory factors


par Kokou Edem TENGUE
Université de Lomé - Doctorat 2021
  

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5.2.2.2 Economic development framework

5.2.2.2.1 In the field of economic growth

Economic growth is a precondition for a policy of reducing the debt burden. The financial health of the Togolese government would be greatly improved by an increase in GDP growth. A sound political action could encourage investment by creating a favorable environment. At the level of strategies and actions to implement in order to stimulate the country's economic growth:

Ø The implementation of macroeconomic and structural policies including trade, fiscal and sectorial policies contribute to a stable environment for economic activity. These economic reforms affect more incentives to invest. It is recognized that the countries that undertake sound macroeconomic policies and that have economic structures that support the functioning of the market can experience a relatively flexible and stable economic growth.

Ø The growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita is a way to measure the economic performance of a country. This ratio includes the demographic dimension and represents the «net gain» of growth: Its increase results in an improved living standard. Togo can do belter, especially by restoring the business climate which would increase private investment and therefore GDP growth.

Ø The relationship between population growth and economic development through the impact it has on the public debt are obvious if we refer to our econometric model. For several decades Togo seems to have borrowed money to meet the demands of public funds for education, health and even to feed its children because the relationship between imports of consumer goods and the debt is also proved by the model. A reduction in the population growth is expected to improve the economic prospects of development of Togo and hence its ability to improve the living conditions of its citizens. This belief that is not universally accepted, is based on the reasoning that lower fertility will reduce the number and proportion of children aged 0-4 years and hence the demand for public services fund education and health. And because of the decline in fertility rates, the resources available per capita for education and health services increase, even in the absence of an increase in funds allocated by the Togolese state for these services. The threat that population growth poses for Togo is twofold. Firstly at the macro level by increasing public debt second but even more because the rate of population growth will be associated with a current rate of spending and therefore higher consumption and low investment in building human and physical capital with the risk of pressure on the environment and humain.il capital is generally accepted that regulation of fertility and decline in mortality due to better health, better education and better opportunities for employment, encourage families to save and invest. Togo must therefore adopt a policy of reducing the rate of population growth to reduce public debt and paved the way for economic development

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