WOW !! MUCH LOVE ! SO WORLD PEACE !
Fond bitcoin pour l'amélioration du site: 1memzGeKS7CB3ECNkzSn2qHwxU6NZoJ8o
  Dogecoin (tips/pourboires): DCLoo9Dd4qECqpMLurdgGnaoqbftj16Nvp


Home | Publier un mémoire | Une page au hasard

 > 

Analyse de la sécurité alimentaire en Afrique de l'ouest et du centre période de 1990-2008

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Bérenger KOLEGBE et Emmanuel HOUESSOU
Université d'Abomey-calavi - Maitrise 2010
  

précédent sommaire suivant

Bitcoin is a swarm of cyber hornets serving the goddess of wisdom, feeding on the fire of truth, exponentially growing ever smarter, faster, and stronger behind a wall of encrypted energy

ANNEXE N°3 : Estimation du modèle macro-économique

a) Estimation des paramètres

Dependent Variable: PPSA

Method: Least Squares

Date: 04/19/10 Time: 09:49

Sample(adjusted): 1 34

Included observations: 19

Excluded observations: 15 after adjusting endpoints

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C

13.93417

21.86338

0.637329

0.5369

COGI

0.139082

0.235558

0.590434

0.5668

IPAU

-0.097316

0.205873

-0.472699

0.6457

TAAD

-0.334194

0.142293

-2.348638

0.0386

TDEM

1.867753

4.457186

0.419043

0.6833

TINF

0.008545

0.030542

0.279771

0.7848

TPIB

-8.947802

1.862908

-4.803138

0.0006

TPUR

0.425736

0.120626

3.529396

0.0047

R-squared

0.863645

Mean dependent var

22.52632

Adjusted R-squared

0.776874

S.D. dependent var

12.13520

S.E. of regression

5.732210

Akaike info criterion

6.625641

Sum squared resid

361.4405

Schwarz criterion

7.023299

Log likelihood

-54.94359

F-statistic

9.953132

Durbin-Watson stat

1.208259

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000540

b) Test sur les résidus

Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:

F-statistic

0.657770

Probability

0.541224

Obs*R-squared

2.423068

Probability

0.297740

Test Equation:

Dependent Variable: RESID

Method: Least Squares

Date: 04/19/10 Time: 09:53

Presample and interior missing value lagged residuals set to zero.

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C

-15.63503

29.68618

-0.526677

0.6112

COGI

0.052671

0.250984

0.209858

0.8385

IPAU

0.066609

0.223553

0.297954

0.7725

TAAD

-0.006936

0.174398

-0.039773

0.9691

TDEM

2.289689

5.308302

0.431341

0.6764

TINF

0.006319

0.032227

0.196075

0.8489

TPIB

0.344144

1.970867

0.174615

0.8652

TPUR

0.110162

0.307423

0.358339

0.7284

RESID(-1)

0.417327

0.401292

1.039958

0.3255

RESID(-2)

0.353313

1.370444

0.257809

0.8024

R-squared

0.127530

Mean dependent var

1.40E-15

Adjusted R-squared

-0.744940

S.D. dependent var

4.481075

S.E. of regression

5.919329

Akaike info criterion

6.699740

Sum squared resid

315.3461

Schwarz criterion

7.196813

Log likelihood

-53.64753

F-statistic

0.146171

Durbin-Watson stat

1.751274

Prob(F-statistic)

0.995738

c) spécification du modèle

Ramsey RESET Test:

F-statistic

0.943680

Probability

0.354243

Log likelihood ratio

1.713364

Probability

0.190550

 
 
 
 
 

Test Equation:

Dependent Variable: PPSA

Method: Least Squares

Date: 04/19/10 Time: 09:52

Sample: 1 34

Included observations: 19

Excluded observations: 15

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.

C

6.309497

23.28245

0.270998

0.7919

COGI

-0.120607

0.356702

-0.338118

0.7423

IPAU

-0.008733

0.225648

-0.038702

0.9699

TAAD

-0.038217

0.336425

-0.113598

0.9118

TDEM

3.052800

4.632159

0.659045

0.5248

TINF

0.000256

0.031787

0.008057

0.9937

TPIB

-2.972023

6.428797

-0.462298

0.6538

TPUR

0.164617

0.294750

0.558498

0.5888

FITTED^2

0.015499

0.015955

0.971432

0.3542

R-squared

0.875403

Mean dependent var

22.52632

Adjusted R-squared

0.775726

S.D. dependent var

12.13520

S.E. of regression

5.746941

Akaike info criterion

6.640727

Sum squared resid

330.2733

Schwarz criterion

7.088093

Log likelihood

-54.08691

F-statistic

8.782361

Durbin-Watson stat

1.039861

Prob(F-statistic)

0.001212

précédent sommaire suivant






Bitcoin is a swarm of cyber hornets serving the goddess of wisdom, feeding on the fire of truth, exponentially growing ever smarter, faster, and stronger behind a wall of encrypted energy








"Entre deux mots il faut choisir le moindre"   Paul Valery