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Agriculture et croissance économique dans les pays de la CEMAC

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par AZAKI MAHAMAT
UNIVERSITÉ DE NGAOUNDERE - MASTER II 2014
  

précédent sommaire suivant

Aidez l'hopital de Montfermeil

ANNEXES

Annexe 1 : Données de l'étude

Annexe 2 : Stationnarité des variables de l'étude

Annexe 3 : Hétéroscédasticité des résidus

Annexe 4 : Autocorrélation des résidus

Annexe 5 : Le test de Hausman

Annexe 6 : Le modèle à effets fixes

Annexe 7 : Le modèle à effets aléatoires

Annexe 8 : La régression par pays

Annexe 1 : Données d'étude (toutes ces données sont en US $ Courant)

Pays

Années

PIBH

k

VA AGR

VA IND

CAMEROUN

1995

626,955746

1161211545

1918648334

2544874233

CAMEROUN

1996

679,777381

1385910070

2128435199

2783956095

CAMEROUN

1997

668,996218

1488919276

2249475638

2778209602

CAMEROUN

1998

637,390826

1448817823

2253380747

2598876762

CAMEROUN

1999

675,950159

1558197926

2366747833

3117381516

CAMEROUN

2000

583,094859

1581438994

1900966236

3093108203

CAMEROUN

2001

589,165139

1994047666

1969453931

2896494630

CAMEROUN

2002

648,298761

2194387967

2224746307

3217702720

CAMEROUN

2003

790,895343

2353408839

2742772091

3866405338

CAMEROUN

2004

892,525739

3216682442

2991653229

4481654781

CAMEROUN

2005

914,55312

2781630122

3157536664

4907784546

CAMEROUN

2006

964,601535

2566946191

3473770046

5491784884

CAMEROUN

2007

1069,85683

3072694269

3923240342

6176338258

CAMEROUN

2008

1211,30419

4159176227

266482916

703692907

CAMEROUN

2009

1102,52039

3623226124

271772878

1199582355

CAMEROUN

2010

1090,61907

3681429025

1382658030

1582180319

CAMEROUN

2011

1204,69821

4875634238

1791296316

2108454575

CAMEROUN

2012

1166,91341

4886354767

354063386

2214907376

CAMEROUN

2013

386,530892

1378047819

1132617560

2445203978

CENTRAFRIQUE

1995

340,50474

157482216

491495089

224294006

CENTRAFRIQUE

1996

300,806324

73317020,5

505512211

163003819

CENTRAFRIQUE

1997

273,814488

94526118,1

482153105

128524818

CENTRAFRIQUE

1998

276,529353

106530742

498564480

129278364

CENTRAFRIQUE

1999

280,003087

129551912

482845234

134709315

CENTRAFRIQUE

2000

251,35264

101256183

452683271

127100471

CENTRAFRIQUE

2001

251,571807

95427456,2

475474530

127592762

CENTRAFRIQUE

2002

263,159703

95420553,3

504618573

131583178

CENTRAFRIQUE

2003

297,614387

72998928,2

618535519

148814340

CENTRAFRIQUE

2004

326,197313

86519618,2

668177918

169191720

CENTRAFRIQUE

2005

340,907867

131928347

698146538

181150975

CENTRAFRIQUE

2006

365,497083

149476914

767888491

198192109

CENTRAFRIQUE

2007

413,481439

169947100

869182993

229968732

CENTRAFRIQUE

2008

474,389479

230374697

1043470033

250363046

CENTRAFRIQUE

2009

464,513231

223587601

1012353888

253934885

CENTRAFRIQUE

2010

456,563409

280188650

998743281

254408386

CENTRAFRIQUE

2011

498,780067

328822086

1149730790

288403863

CENTRAFRIQUE

2012

482,669727

320247424

1119151089

282862535

CENTRAFRIQUE

2013

329,719201

26094745,8

293968235

85791829,2

CONGO

1995

777,761597

773878530

221176697

949416998

CONGO

1996

908,179499

833105220

228324592

1317167039

CONGO

1997

806,966776

516419079

212277714

1320781998

CONGO

1998

658,306776

520206927

213576779

897870000

CONGO

1999

773,182046

653728386

196686975

1442262875

CONGO

2000

1029,97458

728535513

170792208

2323251574

CONGO

2001

871,670943

736472907

162065156

1829917511

CONGO

2002

919,687014

706907947

189099327

1912227485

CONGO

2003

1039,3798

912083483

219373591

2138505383

CONGO

2004

1347,87091

1046887059

256111850

3061795402

CONGO

2005

1718,10082

1228979769

276604383

4375430121

CONGO

2006

2120,09785

1672461722

306182881

5837172943

CONGO

2007

2233,30825

1831096051

363263231

6148340544

CONGO

2008

3059,22653

2170553081

436050201

9180497863

CONGO

2009

2401,29816

2159794753

432274976

6822630341

CONGO

2010

2920,40671

2464397628

459949910

9051203454

CONGO

2011

3414,05471

3645711737

488035238

1041588743

CONGO

2012

3153,73946

806159489

140922553

677357846

CONGO

2013

289,498097

240188741

171585736

804784260

GABON

1995

4589,49672

1155568064

398278327

2596622433

GABON

1996

5135,78991

1414908674

403868671

3152560529

GABON

1997

4683,27845

1638598929

384464237

2857953628

GABON

1998

3843,39582

1773534830

314771492

1934225896

GABON

1999

3899,08664

1220238825

340101178

2276274120

GABON

2000

4135,25406

1109966762

314898134

2850937697

GABON

2001

3754,36392

1211644806

300257078

2419654606

GABON

2002

3836,79668

1208803028

300148552

2549540998

GABON

2003

4601,60445

1450453386

367515287

3149172422

GABON

2004

5328,48519

1750972592

404516648

3969449742

GABON

2005

6281,95468

1846704163

423532687

5316908780

GABON

2006

6756,27116

2469983943

471609609

5839659125

GABON

2007

7994,30483

2997024084

560741030

6971748174

GABON

2008

10577,9168

3654695830

636617778

1,0083E+10

GABON

2009

7919,71089

3031879637

644898775

6397199329

GABON

2010

9321,95587

4352109842

591630661

8659564502

GABON

2011

11768,6063

5796703595

714951257

1,2008E+10

GABON

2012

11256,5228

5696896003

717108844

1,1424E+10

GABON

2013

2430,619

207120150

314663998

1871459773

GUINEE EQ

1995

371,14036

1506037,66

83099370,1

43874725,2

GUINEE EQ

1996

567,6601

14025433,8

93608305,7

124327432

GUINEE EQ

1997

1056,13238

1881507,5

115250545

338033841

GUINEE EQ

1998

936,815256

13649612,1

97965634,6

300194029

GUINEE EQ

1999

1736,5007

2403815,75

111418055

694170217

GUINEE EQ

2000

2398,4933

12066666,7

120523679

1055135887

GUINEE EQ

2001

3247,55355

12683333,3

122954250

1511030838

GUINEE EQ

2002

3893,29744

14772893,1

134571876

1874483783

GUINEE EQ

2003

5192,7693

14042857,1

159663713

2585293154

GUINEE EQ

2004

8943,67629

85884664,1

211836983

4772941092

GUINEE EQ

2005

13612,8479

76715613,9

213008921

7705096108

GUINEE EQ

2006

15451,1997

66331021,5

263955997

8992619147

GUINEE EQ

2007

19660,0804

58908510,6

334112285

1,18E+10

GUINEE EQ

2008

23511,0971

55938906,3

365391536

1,4554E+10

GUINEE EQ

2009

15300,6997

52915514,2

369345751

9344828697

GUINEE EQ

2010

17612,7579

47982854,8

465799926

1,0901E+10

GUINEE EQ

2011

23473,4356

15662107,6

530870924

1,5019E+10

GUINEE EQ

2012

24035,7061

14646412,6

75630892,9

34942067,6

GUINEE EQ

2013

385,819446

13629786,4

70986554,3

43874725,2

TCHAD

1995

207,141431

190752803

506920640

192928586

TCHAD

1996

222,737508

325490014

603524728

200065478

TCHAD

1997

206,970087

300979348

592306023

211114211

TCHAD

1998

225,88337

295467354

680556176

224592663

TCHAD

1999

191,764697

210119832

584231803

187451054

TCHAD

2000

166,851345

322357094

563789247

151146717

TCHAD

2001

198,279113

688018923

688789179

223636647

TCHAD

2002

221,833734

1195677491

753367522

283431758

TCHAD

2003

293,910179

1426399111

883560770

640749543

TCHAD

2004

456,794431

1072115738

1010894106

2029776327

TCHAD

2005

663,709697

1408054029

3576843503

614095855

TCHAD

2006

716,638996

1694347697

4139449112

744774079

TCHAD

2007

807,78157

1857151687

4723064905

838391939

TCHAD

2008

938,471829

2261027506

5651103468

1083708825

TCHAD

2009

813,75603

2616128473

4307440734

1222375253

TCHAD

2010

909,299907

3622013382

5536211300

1275520808

TCHAD

2011

1006,31977

3499933457

6223604665

1532798501

TCHAD

2012

1035,25795

3420778010

6964762008

1584832506

TCHAD

2013

172,348098

122822457

338230586

162531396

Annexe 2 : Stationnarité des variables de l'étude

Annexe 2.1 : Le produit intérieur brut par tête (PIBH)

Panel unit root test: Summary 

 

Series: LOG(PIBH)

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 09:15

 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Exogenous variables: Individualeffects

User-specifiedlags: 0

 
 

Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel

Balanced observations for each test 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-

 

Method

Statistic

Prob.**

sections

Obs

Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process) 

Levin, Lin & Chu t*

 1.01633

 0.8453

 6

 108

 
 
 
 
 

Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process) 

Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat 

 0.26283

 0.6037

 6

 108

ADF - Fisher Chi-square

 7.42090

 0.8286

 6

 108

PP - Fisher Chi-square

 7.86335

 0.7957

 6

 108

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi

        -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.

Annexe 2.2: Le capital physique par tête (k)

Panel unit root test: Summary 

 

Series: LOG(k)

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 09:16

 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Exogenous variables: Individualeffects

User-specifiedlags: 0

 
 

Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel

Balanced observations for each test 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-

 

Method

Statistic

Prob.**

sections

Obs

Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process) 

Levin, Lin & Chu t*

 0.39512

 0.6536

 6

 108

 
 
 
 
 

Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process) 

Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat 

-0.86926

 0.1924

 6

 108

ADF - Fisher Chi-square

 14.2809

 0.2831

 6

 108

PP - Fisher Chi-square

 14.2493

 0.2851

 6

 108

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi

        -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.

Annexe 2.3: La valeur ajoutée agricole (VAAGR)

Panel unit root test: Summary 

 

Series: LOG(VAAGR)

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 09:17

 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Exogenous variables: Individualeffects

User-specifiedlags: 0

 
 

Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel

Balanced observations for each test 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-

 

Method

Statistic

Prob.**

sections

Obs

Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process) 

Levin, Lin & Chu t*

-0.01432

 0.4943

 6

 108

 
 
 
 
 

Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process) 

Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat 

-0.47844

 0.3162

 6

 108

ADF - Fisher Chi-square

 11.3282

 0.5010

 6

 108

PP - Fisher Chi-square

 11.2573

 0.5070

 6

 108

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi

        -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.

Annexe 2.4: La valeurajoutéeindustrielle

Panel unit root test: Summary 

 

Series: LOG(VAIND)

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 09:18

 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Exogenous variables: Individualeffects

User-specifiedlags: 0

 
 

Newey-West automatic bandwidth selection and Bartlett kernel

Balanced observations for each test 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Cross-

 

Method

Statistic

Prob.**

sections

Obs

Null: Unit root (assumes common unit root process) 

Levin, Lin & Chu t*

-0.00846

 0.4966

 6

 108

 
 
 
 
 

Null: Unit root (assumes individual unit root process) 

Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat 

-0.58949

 0.2778

 6

 108

ADF - Fisher Chi-square

 11.6791

 0.4718

 6

 108

PP - Fisher Chi-square

 12.0094

 0.4449

 6

 108

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

** Probabilities for Fisher tests are computed using an asymptotic Chi

        -square distribution. All other tests assume asymptotic normality.

Annexe 3: Hétéroscédasticité

Annexe 3.1: Detection de l'hétéroscédasticité

Annexe 3.2: Correction de l'hétéroscédasticité

Annexe 4: Test d'autocorrélation

Annexe 5: Le test de Hausman

Annexe 5.1: Le modèle 1

Annexe 5.2: Le modèle 2

Annexe 6: Le test à effet fixe

Annexe 6.1 : Le modèle 1

Annexe 6.2 : Le modèle 2

Annexe 7 : Le test à effet aléatoire

Annexe 7.1: Le modèle 1

Annexe 7.2 : Le modèle 2

Annexe 8 : La régression par pays

Annexe 8.1 : Le modèle 1

Le Cameroun

Dependent Variable: LOG(PIBH)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 13:07

 
 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 18

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

-7.271906

2.894763

-2.512090

0.0249

LOG(k)

0.629203

0.093519

6.728047

0.0000

LOG(VAAGR)

0.074368

0.098574

0.754438

0.4631

LOG(VAIND)

-0.055417

0.159558

-0.347313

0.7335

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.782559

    Meandependent var

6.661619

Adjusted R-squared

0.735964

    S.D. dependent var

0.308111

S.E. of regression

0.158321

    Akaike info criterion

-0.655253

Sumsquaredresid

0.350918

    Schwarz criterion

-0.457393

Log likelihood

9.897281

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-0.627971

F-statistic

16.79506

    Durbin-Watson stat

0.852528

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000065

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

La Centrafrique

Dependent Variable: LOG(PIBH)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 13:10

 
 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 19

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

-7.989513

2.022864

-3.949605

0.0013

LOG(k)

-0.187584

0.108595

-1.727369

0.1046

LOG(VAAGR)

0.336151

0.196146

1.713780

0.1072

LOG(VAIND)

0.553722

0.244927

2.260769

0.0391

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.805220

    Meandependent var

5.836373

Adjusted R-squared

0.766264

    S.D. dependent var

0.237766

S.E. of regression

0.114951

    Akaike info criterion

-1.303965

Sumsquaredresid

0.198205

    Schwarz criterion

-1.105135

Log likelihood

16.38766

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-1.270315

F-statistic

20.67003

    Durbin-Watson stat

0.602080

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000014

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Le Congo

Dependent Variable: LOG(PIBH)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 13:13

 
 

Sample (adjusted): 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 19 afteradjustments

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

-4.129327

3.576847

-1.154460

0.2664

LOG(k)

1.330105

0.196374

6.773310

0.0000

LOG(VAAGR)

-0.877146

0.350229

-2.504493

0.0243

LOG(VAIND)

0.032426

0.101888

0.318253

0.7547

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.871144

    Meandependent var

7.181814

Adjusted R-squared

0.845373

    S.D. dependent var

0.670108

S.E. of regression

0.263504

    Akaike info criterion

0.355166

Sumsquaredresid

1.041514

    Schwarz criterion

0.553995

Log likelihood

0.625924

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

0.388816

F-statistic

33.80314

    Durbin-Watson stat

1.688345

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000001

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

La Gabon

Dependent Variable: LOG(PIBH)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 13:17

 
 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 19

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

-9.608223

1.004410

-9.566037

0.0000

LOG(k)

0.199413

0.023655

8.429884

0.0000

LOG(VAAGR)

0.339839

0.100023

3.397619

0.0040

LOG(VAIND)

0.326669

0.054439

6.000622

0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.993451

    Meandependent var

8.642470

Adjusted R-squared

0.992141

    S.D. dependent var

0.439696

S.E. of regression

0.038979

    Akaike info criterion

-3.466933

Sumsquaredresid

0.022790

    Schwarz criterion

-3.268103

Log likelihood

36.93586

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-3.433283

F-statistic

758.4810

    Durbin-Watson stat

1.409853

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

La Guinée Equatoriale

Dependent Variable: LOG(PIBH)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 13:20

 
 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 19

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

-22.48795

11.50906

-1.953935

0.0696

LOG(k)

0.437820

0.238422

1.836320

0.0862

LOG(VAAGR)

1.235518

0.862764

1.432046

0.1726

LOG(VAIND)

0.009096

0.274264

0.033164

0.9740

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.686446

    Meandependent var

8.418194

Adjusted R-squared

0.623736

    S.D. dependent var

1.482908

S.E. of regression

0.909622

    Akaike info criterion

2.833088

Sumsquaredresid

12.41118

    Schwarz criterion

3.031917

Log likelihood

-22.91434

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

2.866738

F-statistic

10.94624

    Durbin-Watson stat

2.263070

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000460

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Le Tchad

Dependent Variable: LOG(PIBH)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 13:22

 
 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 19

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

-9.092103

0.269347

-33.75609

0.0000

LOG(k)

-0.148685

0.030927

-4.807640

0.0002

LOG(VAAGR)

0.571035

0.026907

21.22223

0.0000

LOG(VAIND)

0.302760

0.029830

10.14959

0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.995747

    Meandependent var

5.973460

Adjusted R-squared

0.994896

    S.D. dependent var

0.716814

S.E. of regression

0.051212

    Akaike info criterion

-2.921034

Sumsquaredresid

0.039340

    Schwarz criterion

-2.722205

Log likelihood

31.74982

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-2.887384

F-statistic

1170.508

    Durbin-Watson stat

1.264152

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Annexe 8.2 : Le modèle 2

Le Cameroun

Dependent Variable: LOG(VAIND)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 17:37

 
 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 18

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

6.473873

5.551838

1.166078

0.2631

LOG(PIBH)

-0.154152

0.443841

-0.347313

0.7335

LOG(k)

0.256170

0.313532

0.817045

0.4276

LOG(VAAGR)

0.508613

0.098236

5.177471

0.0001

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.666315

    Meandependent var

21.80529

Adjusted R-squared

0.594812

    S.D. dependent var

0.414825

S.E. of regression

0.264054

    Akaike info criterion

0.367805

Sumsquaredresid

0.976144

    Schwarz criterion

0.565665

Log likelihood

0.689758

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

0.395087

F-statistic

9.318600

    Durbin-Watson stat

1.381874

Prob(F-statistic)

0.001217

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

La Centrafrique

Dependent Variable: LOG(VAIND)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 17:40

 
 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 19

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

6.945918

1.924235

3.609703

0.0026

LOG(PIBH)

0.458971

0.203015

2.260769

0.0391

LOG(k)

0.252089

0.086503

2.914215

0.0107

LOG(VAAGR)

0.229157

0.186100

1.231367

0.2371

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.922482

    Meandependent var

18.97982

Adjusted R-squared

0.906978

    S.D. dependent var

0.343135

S.E. of regression

0.104654

    Akaike info criterion

-1.491642

Sumsquaredresid

0.164288

    Schwarz criterion

-1.292812

Log likelihood

18.17059

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-1.457992

F-statistic

59.50082

    Durbin-Watson stat

0.648560

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Le Congo

Dependent Variable: LOG(VAIND)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 17:42

 
 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 19

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

-4.420933

9.357223

-0.472462

0.6434

LOG(PIBH)

0.206840

0.649924

0.318253

0.7547

LOG(k)

0.053721

0.999071

0.053771

0.9578

LOG(VAAGR)

1.207809

1.006159

1.200416

0.2486

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.493684

    Meandependent var

21.54251

Adjusted R-squared

0.392421

    S.D. dependent var

0.853798

S.E. of regression

0.665513

    Akaike info criterion

2.208147

Sumsquaredresid

6.643617

    Schwarz criterion

2.406977

Log likelihood

-16.97740

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

2.241797

F-statistic

4.875262

    Durbin-Watson stat

1.189661

Prob(F-statistic)

0.014620

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Le Gabon

Dependent Variable: LOG(VAIND)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 17:43

 
 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 19

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

17.02278

5.297994

3.213061

0.0058

LOG(PIBH)

2.160979

0.360126

6.000622

0.0000

LOG(k)

-0.376874

0.108489

-3.473844

0.0034

LOG(VAAGR)

-0.276584

0.334686

-0.826400

0.4215

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.978069

    Meandependent var

22.15898

Adjusted R-squared

0.973683

    S.D. dependent var

0.617990

S.E. of regression

0.100254

    Akaike info criterion

-1.577564

Sumsquaredresid

0.150762

    Schwarz criterion

-1.378735

Log likelihood

18.98686

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-1.543914

F-statistic

222.9892

    Durbin-Watson stat

0.498756

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

La Guinée Equatoriale

Dependent Variable: LOG(VAIND)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 17:46

 
 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 19

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

-34.47760

8.247253

-4.180495

0.0008

LOG(PIBH)

0.008061

0.243057

0.033164

0.9740

LOG(k)

0.248560

0.239965

1.035819

0.3167

LOG(VAAGR)

2.707521

0.511018

5.298289

0.0001

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.862909

    Meandependent var

21.03801

Adjusted R-squared

0.835491

    S.D. dependent var

2.111231

S.E. of regression

0.856308

    Akaike info criterion

2.712291

Sumsquaredresid

10.99896

    Schwarz criterion

2.911120

Log likelihood

-21.76676

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

2.745941

F-statistic

31.47224

    Durbin-Watson stat

0.368156

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000001

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Le Tchad

Dependent Variable: LOG(VAIND)

 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 11/24/15 Time: 17:48

 
 

Sample: 1995 2013

 
 

Included observations: 19

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

C

26.75755

2.332580

11.47123

0.0000

LOG(PIBH)

2.883131

0.284064

10.14959

0.0000

LOG(k)

0.501541

0.079835

6.282200

0.0000

LOG(VAAGR)

-1.622767

0.195832

-8.286509

0.0000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

R-squared

0.975178

    Meandependent var

20.00084

Adjusted R-squared

0.970214

    S.D. dependent var

0.915686

S.E. of regression

0.158035

    Akaike info criterion

-0.667342

Sumsquaredresid

0.374624

    Schwarz criterion

-0.468512

Log likelihood

10.33975

    Hannan-Quinn criter.

-0.633692

F-statistic

196.4376

    Durbin-Watson stat

1.651577

Prob(F-statistic)

0.000000

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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