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Effets de l'ouverture commerciale sur la croissance économique du Burkina Faso.

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Yempabou Landry Clotaire MANO
ENAM - Conseiller des affaires économiques 2015
  

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ANNEXES

Annexe 1 : Base de données de l'étude économétrique

Année

Lny

Lnk

Lnh

LnOuv

LnIde

LnPop act

1990

21,5874304

19,7338487

2,04122033

2,87420428

4,21093551

15,1703256

1991

21,6742499

19,8694687

2,07944154

2,82720227

4,00734773

15,1955217

1992

21,6765743

19,8255985

2,1517622

2,65232663

1,97357547

15,2226807

1993

21,7106026

19,7912987

2,2104698

2,69547425

1,99294702

15,2504679

1994

21,723667

19,9961519

2,26799365

2,97627475

0,03115171

15,2787132

1995

21,7792566

19,9057662

2,32336763

3,01424661

0,88539519

15,3072907

1996

21,8837494

19,9902451

2,36743607

2,94917244

0,46634871

15,3361682

1997

21,9450029

20,1285105

2,3997118

2,92896243

0,91883386

15,3653337

1998

22,0155333

20,1383219

2,41054223

3,01895511

1,85072828

15,3947222

1999

22,0869622

20,0962243

2,47148363

2,81913532

-1,3359317

15,4242688

2000

22,1052639

20,0619356

2,48490665

2,84096609

0,11729415

15,4539335

2001

22,16904

20,1941386

2,49732917

2,78406119

1,12143416

15,4836901

2002

22,2191986

20,3965724

2,56648664

2,73673181

-0,6909386

15,5135511

2003

22,2943292

20,5405099

2,66374994

2,73217414

0,31050232

15,5447632

2004

22,3381399

20,6432216

2,74277364

2,92123996

-2,5364991

15,5749885

2005

22,4212107

20,7960392

2,75366071

2,87739119

0,04718633

15,6054661

2006

22,486697

20,8128432

2,82137889

2,90713176

0,36001674

15,6373874

2007

22,522124

20,8958068

2,97041447

2,87654131

1,13645587

15,6683328

2008

22,5785044

20,9893041

3,00071982

2,89827813

-0,926705

15,6994976

2009

22,6077276

21,1381928

3,10009229

3,00580722

0,39168014

15,7320727

2010

22,6841301

21,2003868

3,17387846

3,04282655

0,86353209

15,7636529

2011

22,7253688

21,116807

3,24649099

3,21326387

0,32344779

15,7942191

2012

22,8164648

21,3164815

3,3638416

3,42991109

1,12168765

15,8261423

Source : données de la BM (WDI, 2013) et du MESS

> Test sur PIB réel

Null Hypothesis: LNY has a unit root

Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=1)

t-Statistic

Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -2.635448

0.2696

Test critical values: 1% level -4.440739

5% level -3.632896

10% level -3.254671

 
 
 

> Test sur capital physique

Null Hypothesis: LNK has a unit root

Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=1)

t-Statistic

Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -2.056166

0.5402

Test critical values: 1% level -4.440739

5% level -3.632896

10% level -3.254671

 
 
 

> Test sur capital humain

Null Hypothesis: LNH has a unit root

Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=1)

t-Statistic

Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -0.163534

0.9896

Test critical values: 1% level -4.440739

5% level -3.632896

10% level -3.254671

 
 
 

Null Hypothesis: D(LNY) has a unit root

Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=1)

 

t-Statistic Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -5.160056 0.0025

Test critical values: 1% level

5% level 10% level

-4.467895

-3.644963

-3.261452

 
 

Null Hypothesis: D(LNK) has a unit root

Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=1)

t-Statistic

Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -5.008388

0.0033

Test critical values: 1% level -4.467895

5% level -3.644963

10% level -3.261452

 
 
 

Null Hypothesis: D(LNH) has a unit root

Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=1)

t-Statistic

Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -4.514215

0.0091

Test critical values: 1% level -4.467895

5% level -3.644963

10% level -3.261452

 
 
 

II

Annexe 2 : Les tests de stationnarité (à gauche en niveau et à droite en différence 1re)

> Test sur ouverture commerciale

Null Hypothesis: LNOUV has a unit root

Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4)

t-Statistic

Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -0.879119

0.9408

Test critical values: 1% level -4.440739

5% level -3.632896

10% level -3.254671

 
 
 

> Test sur investissement direct étranger

Null Hypothesis: LNIDE has a unit root

Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4)

t-Statistic

Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -3.716642

0.0426

Test critical values: 1% level -4.440739

5% level -3.632896

10% level -3.254671

 
 
 

> Test sur population active

Null Hypothesis: LNPOP_ACT has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=1)

t-Statistic

Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -4.274081

0.0141

Test critical values: 1% level -4.440739

5% level -3.632896

10% level -3.254671

 
 
 

Null Hypothesis: D(LNOUV) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4)

t-Statistic

Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -3.957881

0.0275

Test critical values: 1% level -4.467895

5% level -3.644963

10% level -3.261452

 
 
 

Null Hypothesis: D(LNIDE) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 1 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=4)

t-Statistic

Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -4.510548

0.0098

Test critical values: 1% level -4.498307

5% level -3.658446

10% level -3.268973

 
 
 

Null Hypothesis: D(LNPOP_ACT) has a unit root Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=1)

 
 

t-Statistic

Prob.*

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-4.893299

0.0042

Test critical values: 1% level

5% level 10% level

-4.467895

-3.644963

-3.261452

 
 
 
 

III

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