Annexe 4 : Les estimations sur l'équation des
dépenses publiques
Dependent Variable: GCON
Method: Two-Stage Least Squares
Sample: 1980 2003
Included observations: 24
Instrument list: C AID TRPIB EXTDEBT INF
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 6.432917 1.342022 4.793452 0.0001
AID 0.148095 0.060084 2.464808 0.0234
TRPIB 1.173892 0.098513 11.91608 0.0000
EXTDEBT -0.347131 0.145279 -2.389405 0.0274
INF -0.084901 0.017376 -4.886019 0.0001
R-squared 0.967180 Mean dependent var 9.916667
Adjusted R-squared 0.960270 S.D. dependent var 3.717370
S.E. of regression 0.740960 Sum squared resid 10.43140
F-statistic 139.9773 Durbin-Watson stat 2.626239
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic 1.270822 Probability 0.3 05947
Obs*R-squared 3.121510 Probability 0.209977
White Heteroskedasticity Test:
F-statistic 0.199004 Probability 0.986565
Obs*R-squared 2.302838 Probability 0.970292
Chow Breakpoint Test: 1994
F-statistic 0.65 8642 Probability 0.66043 9
Annexe 5 : Les estimations sur l'équation des
dépenses en éducation
Dependent Variable: EDU
Method: Two-Stage Least Squares
Sample(adjusted): 1979 2003
Included observations: 24 after adjusting endpoints Instrument
list: C EDU(-1) AID PIBO REVC
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 2.319472 0.872508 2.658398 0.0165
EDU (-1) 0.425765 0.216520 1.966401 0.0658
AID 1.966401 0.080827 1.697825 0.1089
PIBO 0.0123 13 0.006323 1.947232 0.0705
REVC -0.247695 0.295059 -0.839474 0.4144
R-squared 0.941600 Mean dependent var 19.05000
Adjusted R-squared 0.926027 S.D. dependent var 2.723678
S.E. of regression 0.740787 Sum squared resid 8.231475
F-statistic 60.46237 Durbin-Watson stat 1.588133
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic 0.508056 Probability 0.613130
Obs*R-squared 1.449919 Probability 0.484344
White Heteroskedasticity Test:
F-statistic 0.659785 Probability 0.716540
Obs*R-squared 6.485058 Probability 0.593066
Chow Breakpoint Test: 1994
F-statistic 1.717192 Probability 0.218202
Annexe 6 : Les estimations sur l'équation des
dépenses en santé
Dependent Variable: SAN
Method: Two-Stage Least Squares
Sample (adjusted): 1979 2003
Included observations: 24 after adjusting endpoints Instrument
list: C SAN(-1) REVC AID PIBO
|
Variable
|
Coefficient
|
Std. Error t-Statistic
|
Prob.
|
|
C
|
9.848720
|
4.468297 2.204133
|
0.0408
|
|
SAN(-1)
|
0.634431
|
0.185497 3.420177
|
0.0031
|
|
REVC
|
-1.142050
|
0.471557 -2.421869
|
0.0262
|
|
AID
|
0.283315
|
0.149438 1.895871
|
0.0725
|
|
PIBO
|
0.016766
|
0.009461 1.772096
|
0.0933
|
|
R-squared
|
0.653346
|
Mean dependent var
|
8.434783
|
|
Adjusted R-squared
|
0.576312
|
S.D. dependent var
|
2.537466
|
|
S.E. of regression
|
1.651671
|
Sum squared resid
|
49.10429
|
|
F-statistic
|
8.481244
|
Durbin-Watson stat
|
2.417072
|
|
Prob(F-statistic)
|
0.000497
|
|
|
Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test:
F-statistic 2.530975 Probability 0.110910
Obs*R-squared 5.52773 3 Probability 0.063 048
White Heteroskedasticity Test:
F-statistic 1.119348 Probability 0.4073 94
Obs*R-squared 8.972421 Probability 0.344628
Chow Breakpoint Test: 1994
F-statistic 0.640480 Probability 0.673232
| 
