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Transition démocratique et investissements étrangers: conséquences et enseignements pour les pays arabes


par Ahmed DERBALI
Ecole polytechnique de Tunisie - Mastère de recherche 2011
  

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Annexes

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

98

Annexe I : Liste des pays en transition

 
 

Nom du pays

année de transition

 
 

Nom du pays

année de transition

1. |

 

Peru

1981 |

25.

|

Russian Federation

1991 |

2.

|

Honduras

1982|

26.

|

Benin

1991 |

3.

|

El Salvador

1982 |

27.

|

Congo, Rep.

1992 |

4.

|

Bolivia

1982 |

28.

|

Thailand

1992 |

5.

|

Turkey

1983 |

29.

|

Slovenia

1992 |

6.

|

Argentina

1983 |

30.

|

Mali

1992 |

7.

|

Grenada

1984 |

31.

|

Madagascar

1993 |

8.

|

Guatemala

1984 |

32.

|

Mongolia

1993 |

9.

|

Uruguay

1985 |

33.

|

Burundi

1993 |

10.

|

Brazil

1985 |

34.

|

South Africa

1994 |

11.

|

Philippines

1987 |

35.

|

Panama

1994 |

12.

|

Germany

1989|

36.

|

Ukraine

1994 |

13.

|

Paraguay

1989 |

37.

|

Tanzania

1995 |

14.

|

Bulgaria

1989 |

38.

|

Ghana

1996 |

15.

|

Fiji

1990 |

39.

|

Mexico

1997 |

16.

|

Nicaragua

1990|

40.

|

Armenia

1998 |

17.

|

Czech Republic

1990|

41.

|

Djibouti

1999 |

18.

|

Hungary

1990|

42.

|

Indonesia

1999 |

19.

|

Albania

1990 |

43.

|

Senegal

2000 |

20.

|

Chile

1990 |

44.

|

Croatia

2000 |

21.

|

Romania

1990 |

 
 
 
 

22.

|

Poland

1990 |

 
 
 
 

23.

|

Comoros

1990|

 
 
 
 

24.

|

Bangladesh

1991 |

 
 
 
 

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

99

Annexe II : Statistiques Descriptives :

Variable

Obs

Mean

Std. Dev.

Min

Max

Transition

5152

.2562112

.4365822

0

1

RealGDPpc

5152

23.83187

2.150379

18.46663

29.61958

HEALTHINDEX

5108

.6087314

1.097865

.1

6.5

EDUCATION

5151

47.54533

2.781885

0

62.02687

RURALPOP

5152

1.70e+07

8.11e+07

0

8.27e+08

Pressliberties

5152

4.462539

2.836336

0

9

RELIGIOUSFRACT

5040

.4395505

.2334893

.0022857

.8602599

FREEDOMSPEECH

3834

.9551382

.7260003

0

2

Womenparticipation

5152

1.502523

.5198388

0

3

Torture

5152

.7084627

.7104772

0

2

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

Annexe III : Estimations Probit :

probit Transition RealGDPpc HEALTHINDEX EDUCATION RURALPOP Pressliberties RELIGIOUSFRACT FREEDOMSPEECH Womenparticipation Torture

Iteration 0: log likelihood = -2267.7074 Iteration 1: log likelihood = -2046.4876 Iteration 2: log likelihood = -2036.7666 Iteration 3: log likelihood = -2036.4004 Iteration 4: log likelihood = -2036.3993

Probit regression Number of obs = 3769

LR chi2(9) Prob > chi2

Log likelihood = -2036.3993 Pseudo R2

=

462.62

=

0.0000

=

0.1020

100

Transition

Coef.

Std. Err.

z

P>|z|

[95% Conf.

Interval]

RealGDPpc

.081073

.0127109

6.38

0.000

.05616

.105986

HEALTHINDEX

-.2945926

.0365671

-8.06

0.000

-.3662628

-.2229224

EDUCATION

.0716804

.0117234

6.11

0.000

.0487029

.0946579

RURALPOP

-1.70e-09

3.68e-10

-4.62

0.000

-2.42e-09

-9.79e-10

Pressliberties

.0401306

.0092609

4.33

0.000

.0219796

.0582816

RELIGIOUSFRACT

-.644008

.101995

-6.31

0.000

-.8439145

-.4441015

FREEDOMSPEECH

.1045416

.0352944

2.96

0.003

.0353659

.1737174

Womenparticipation

.219613

.0477482

4.60

0.000

.1260283

.3131977

Torture

-.2636526

.0352246

-7.48

0.000

-.3326917

-.1946136

_cons

-5.934994

.6094876

-9.74

0.000

-7.129568

-4.74042

École polytechnique de Tunis Mémoire de Mastère Derbali Ahmed

101

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