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The role of supply and use/input output tables in the perspective analysis of economic development of Rwanda

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par Jean Baptiste HABYARIMANA
National University of Rwanda - Bachelor's degree 2010
  

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Abstract

In this study, the objective is to show the role of supply and use tables/Input-Output table in economic development of Rwanda in order to build a coherent model that can be useful for Rwanda's National Accountants in analyzing possible effects of alternative economic policies over different segments of the society. As necessary and reliable statistics are difficult to obtain for compiling a social accounting matrix for Rwanda, this work has limited to the analysis of SUT, I-O table, and Satellite Accounts and economic development of Rwanda. A consistent and comprehensive analysis has reached due to the analysis of GDP on the period of 1999 to 2009 and Human Development Index ranging on the period of 1985 to 2010. Furthermore the objective of this study is to construct relationship between SUT and Economic Development which can be employed by modellers in construction of relevant models for Rwanda's economy.

With the policy of IMIDUGUDU, AGASOZI INDATWA, rural access index has been improved regarding investment done. Almost all basic needs for development have been made available such as school, health centres, roads electricity. These changes towards development as explained above are increasing as public and private sector decide to increase investments, and those investment are captured by the SUT as GFCF which include public and private sectors. Therefore, the increase in GDP due to the increase in GFCF can push Rwanda towards economic development.

For many reasons GFCF has direct effect on development. With education, and health serves, the impact of infrastructure services measured by GFCF in SUT on human development is direct. The impact is also indirect through economic growth.

Rwanda's economy has recovered from 1999 compare to the slowdown of 5 years before 1999. Gross domestic product rose 6% more than a full percentage point higher than in 2008. The recovery has been widespread throughout rural areas, with the creation of cooperatives, privatization, education...which affect different mode of economic development such as mode of production and value added on different product produced locally, mode of consumption, mode of investment, mode of exportation and mode of taxation. And all those modes are the main components of SUT and I-O table on which different analysis and policies for development are based.

Chapter I. INTRODUCTION

1.1. General introduction

The simplest possible economy cannot exist without producing and consuming, so clearly we need account for these two fundamental activities, even a very primitive economy, however, needs to set aside some of its current production for the activity of accumulation. And we must recognize the fact that virtually no economy can supply all its needs from its own resources, so we need another account for the activity of foreign trade (V.Bulmer-Thomas 1982 2).

At present, the starting point of National Accounts compilation is often the estimation of an Input-Output Tables or Supply and Use tables (SUT). Those tables provide an excellent framework for combining the so-called production approach and expenditure approach to the computation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). However, only cursory attention can be paid to the third approach, the income approach. Expanding such tables in Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) remedies this short coming of income of various Institutional Sectors, and by providing a check on these income data through a comparison with detailed expenditure figures for the same sectors (Steven 1996; 146)

Again, every individual, each society and every country strives for establishing a self sustained economic development, and Rwanda does not make exception to this rule. For a sustained economic development , a system of Economic and Social Accounting Matrix and Extension (SESAME) and a National Accounting Matrix include Environmental Accounts (NAMEA) are needed and are largely dependent on reliable information necessary to depict the past and the present economic situation, so that future efforts can be assessed. The supply and use tables (SUT) information, thus, is a key factor decision making in such effort.

Thus, each country needs adequate information in its efforts of providing welfare of their members. This idea has been emphasized by Welsch & Short (1987:5), when they mentioned, «The dynamic and successful society depends on the ability of each organization to measure and report its accomplishments, to undergo critical self analysis, and, through sound decision, to renew itself and grow. In this way, individual and social objectives are sewed best».

For its economic development, Rwanda needs such information system that helps in providing reliable information upon which economic activities and economic decisions can be taken. This information system is nothing other than information from SUT/I-O Table, SAM, NAMEA and SASEME within the System of National Accounts.

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