ANNEXE 2 : TABLEAUX DES TESTS DE STATIONNARITE DES
VARIABLES.
ANNEXE 3 : LES INSTITUTIONS ENQUETEES A DOUALA.
ANNEXE 4 : LES GUIDES D'ENTRETIEN AUPRES DES
INSTITUTIONS RENCONTREES DANS LA VILLE DE DOUALA (à insérer).
Par PEGUI Yannick Félix, Maître ès
sciences économiques 106
Mémoire de MASTER II : GOUVERNANCE LOCALE ET
ATTRACTIVITE TERRITORIALE DES ENTREPRISES :
CAS DE LA VILLE DE
DOUALA
Par PEGUI Yannick Félix, Maître ès
sciences économiques 107
ANNEXE 1 :
Encadré sur LES ENJEUX DU DEVELOPPEMENT LOCAL
A
DOUALA
Les enjeux du développement local à
Douala
Le développement local est un modèle de
développement qui, dans une dynamique endogène, faite de
mobilisation des acteurs et des synergies locales, permet au territoire de
valoriser ses ressources et d'assurer sa compétitivité. Aussi,
c'est comme du "Ndolè". Chacun l'apprécie à sa
manière, selon ses moyens et ses spécificités culinaires
et gutturales propres. Avec ou sans écrevisses, sans viande mais avec du
poisson fumé, de la morue ou des crevettes, ... Certains l'aiment chaud.
D'autres le préfèrent tiède. Plus que jamais, la
clé est dans l'expérimentation et l'alchimie. Mais, surtout, pas
à la pensée unique ! Comme la mer qui essuie, de façon
parfois saccadée mais souvent rythmée, les coups de pagaie des
concurrents d'une course de pirogues, Douala est désormais au pied du
mur. Face à son destin. Plus que par le passé d'ailleurs,
celui-ci paraît largement dépendre d'un double choix, urgent et
incontournable :
- Devenir une vraie "afrocité" et accéder au
rang des "cités globales" : auquel cas la ville de Douala opterait
urgemment pour l'adoption d'une démarche stratégique de
développement, en vue de reconstruire sa compétitivité
territoriale. De ce point de vue, des opportunités et autres facteurs
porteurs existent qui, dans une dynamique d'aptitude désormais
érigée en règle ou en mode de gouvernance, devraient aider
la cité à mieux « tirer son safou du feu »,
- Ou alors opter pour la gestion par le hasard, ce que
d'autres qualifient pudiquement de "gestion par l'instinct". C'est aussi un
choix comme un autre. Mais dont, on s'en doute, les objectifs ne collent que
très difficilement avec ceux d'une grande ville du
XXIème siècle. Car, qu'on l'ait désiré
ou non, les territoires se trouvent désormais en prise directe avec la
compétitivité et, au-delà, avec la mondialisation qui fait
qu'aujourd'hui également, "le monde entier s'archipélise et
se créolise".
Source : Essombe Edimo, 2007b, PP,
196-197.
Mémoire de MASTER II : GOUVERNANCE LOCALE ET
ATTRACTIVITE TERRITORIALE DES ENTREPRISES :
CAS DE LA VILLE DE
DOUALA
|
ANNEXE 2 :
TABLEAUX DES TESTS DE STATIONNARITE DES VARIABLES
|
Par PEGUI Yannick Félix, Maître ès
sciences économiques 108
. dfuller txcre, lags(1) trend regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 12
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
Z(t) -1.650
-4.380
-3.600
-3.240
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t)
|
= 0.7722
|
|
|
|
|
|
D.txcre
|
Coef. Std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
txcre
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.7493628 .4540966
|
-1.65
|
0.138
|
-1.796511
|
|
.2977858
|
|
LD.
|
.2010485 .3854438
|
0.52
|
0.616
|
-.6877865
|
|
1.089883
|
|
_trend
|
.8515257 1.317775
|
0.65
|
0.536
|
-2.187269
|
|
3.890321
|
|
_cons
|
7.15599 9.867351
|
0.73
|
0.489
|
-15.59816
|
|
29.91014
|
|
. dfuller txcre, lags(1) regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
|
Statistic value
|
value
|
|
value
|
|
Z(t) -1.606
-3.750
|
-3.000
|
|
-2.630
|
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for Z(t) =
0.4806
|
|
|
|
|
|
D.txcre
|
Coef. Std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
txcre
L1. LD.
_cons
|
-.5862675 .3650715
.1083959 .3460112
10.18034 8.400943
|
-1.61
0.31
1.21
|
0.143
0.761
0.256
|
-1.412117
-.6743357
-8.823916
|
|
.2395816
.8911275
29.18459
|
|
. dfuller txcre, lags(1) noconstant
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
regress root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
|
Statistic
|
value
|
value
|
|
value
|
|
Z(t) -1.155
|
-2.660
|
-1.950
|
|
-1.600
|
|
D.txcre
|
Coef.
|
Std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
txcre
L1. LD.
|
-.1881895
-.0698586
|
.1629537
.3204389
|
-1.15
-0.22
|
0.275
0.832
|
-.551273
-.7838409
|
|
.174894
.6441237
|
|
. dfuller D.txcre, lags(1)
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test
|
noconstant for unit
|
regress root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
11
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
|
Z(t) -2.223
|
|
-2.660
|
|
-1.950
|
-1.600
|
|
D2.txcre
|
Coef.
|
Std. Err. t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
txcre
LD. LD2.
|
-1.243188
.138423
|
.5592947
.3375456
|
-2.22
0.41
|
0.053
0.691
|
-2.508401
-.6251583
|
.0220241
.9020043
|
Mémoire de MASTER II : GOUVERNANCE LOCALE ET
ATTRACTIVITE TERRITORIALE DES ENTREPRISES :
CAS DE LA VILLE DE
DOUALA
. Par PEGUI Yannick Félix, Maître
ès sciences économiques 109
dfuller p_adev, lags(1) trend regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 12
Interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -2.461
-4.380
-3.600
-3.240
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t)
|
= 0.3475
|
|
|
|
|
D.p_adev
|
Coef.
|
Std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
Interval]
|
p_adev
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-1.258893
|
.5114429
|
-2.46
|
0.039
|
-2.438283
|
|
-.079504
|
LD.
|
.2133913
|
.3454099
|
0.62
|
0.554
|
-.5831255
|
|
1.009908
|
_trend
|
.0559815
|
.0234928
|
2.38
|
0.044
|
.0018069
|
|
.110156
|
_cons
|
.1794165
|
.0562181
|
3.19
|
0.013
|
.0497773
|
|
.3090557
|
. dfuller p_adev, lags(1)
|
regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test
|
for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
|
Interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -0.551
-3.750
-3.000
-2.630
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t) =
0.8817
D.p_adev
|
Coef.
|
Std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
Interval]
|
p_adev
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.0562948
|
.1022347
|
-0.55
|
0.595
|
-.2875656
|
.1749761
|
LD.
|
-.3449336
|
.3128757
|
-1.10
|
0.299
|
-1.052708
|
.3628404
|
_cons
|
.0813716
|
.0472275
|
1.72
|
0.119
|
-.0254644
|
.1882075
|
|
. dfuller p_adev, lags(1) noconstant regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 12
Interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) 2.118
-2.660
-1.950
-1.600
D.p_adev Coef.
Std. Err. t
P>ItI [95% Conf.
Interval]
p_adev
L1. .1025073 .0483976
2.12 0.060 -.0053292
.2103438
LD. -.3342382 .3422225
-0.98 0.352
-1.096757 .4282809
. dfuller D.p_adev, lags(1)
noconstant regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 11
Interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -1.512
-2.660
-1.950
-1.600
D2.p_adev
|
Coef.
|
Std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Co nf.
|
Interval]
|
p_adev
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LD.
|
-.629139
|
.4160431
|
-1.51
|
0.165
|
-1.570294
|
.3120158
|
LD2.
|
-.2715233
|
.3208106
|
-0.85
|
0.419
|
-.9972474
|
.4542008
|
|
Mémoire de MASTER II : GOUVERNANCE LOCALE ET
ATTRACTIVITE TERRITORIALE DES ENTREPRISES :
CAS DE LA VILLE DE
DOUALA
. Par PEGUI Yannick Félix, Maître
ès sciences économiques 110
dfuller e_pp, lags(1) trend regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 12
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% critical 5% critical 10% critical
statistic value value value
z(t) -1.811
-4.380
-3.600
-3.240
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t)
|
= 0.6992
|
|
|
|
|
D.e_pp
|
coef. std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% conf.
|
interval]
|
e_pp
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.8766696 .483949
|
-1.81
|
0.108
|
-1.992658
|
|
.2393187
|
LD.
|
-.0058513 .3303797
|
-0.02
|
0.986
|
-.7677082
|
|
.7560057
|
_trend
|
.0183562 .0100667
|
1.82
|
0.106
|
-.0048578
|
|
.0415701
|
_cons
|
.1314815 .0588596
|
2.23
|
0.056
|
-.004249
|
|
.267212
|
. dfuller e_pp, lags(1)
regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% critical 5% critical 10% critical
statistic value value value
z(t) -0.075
-3.750
-3.000
-2.630
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t)
|
= 0.9519
|
|
|
|
D.e_pp
|
coef.
|
std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% conf.
|
interval]
|
e_pp
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.0068854
|
.0916648
|
-0.08
|
0.942
|
-.2142456
|
.2004749
|
LD.
|
-.3093544
|
.3201358
|
-0.97
|
0.359
|
-1.033552
|
.4148431
|
_cons
|
.0346503
|
.0284775
|
1.22
|
0.255
|
-.0297703
|
.0990708
|
|
. dfuller e_pp, lags(1) noconstant regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 12
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% critical 5% critical 10% critical
statistic value value value
z(t) 2.894
|
|
-2.660
|
|
-1.950
|
-1.600
|
D.e_pp
|
coef.
|
std. Err. t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% conf.
|
interval]
|
e_pp L1.
LD.
|
.0972526
-.1529765
|
.0336038
.3001674
|
2.89
-0.51
|
0.016
0.621
|
.0223786
-.8217912
|
.1721265
.5158382
|
|
. dfuller D.e_pp, lags(1)
noconstant regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 11
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% critical 5% critical 10% critical
statistic value value value
|
z(t) -1.144
|
|
-2.660
|
|
-1.950
|
-1.600
|
|
D2.e_pp
|
coef.
|
std. Err. t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% conf.
|
interval]
|
|
e_pp LD.
LD2.
|
-.3170939
-.6038463
|
.2770688
.2475679
|
-1.14
-2.44
|
0.282
0.037
|
-.943867
-1.163884
|
.3096791
-.0438088
|
Mémoire de MASTER II : GOUVERNANCE LOCALE ET
ATTRACTIVITE TERRITORIALE DES ENTREPRISES :
CAS DE LA VILLE DE
DOUALA
Par PEGUI Yannick Félix, Maître ès
sciences économiques 111
. dfuller stab, lags(1) trend regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 12
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -2.313
-4.380
-3.600
-3.240
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t)
|
= 0.4270
|
|
|
|
|
|
D.stab
|
Coef. Std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
stab
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.9208897 .3982059
|
-2.31
|
0.049
|
-1.839154
|
|
-.0026252
|
|
LD.
|
.5074686 .4429215
|
1.15
|
0.285
|
-.5139104
|
|
1.528847
|
|
_trend
|
.0433971 .0277676
|
1.56
|
0.157
|
-.0206351
|
|
.1074294
|
|
_cons
|
-.8116734 .4330406
|
-1.87
|
0.098
|
-1.810267
|
|
.18692
|
|
. dfuller stab, lags(1) regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
|
Statistic value
|
value
|
value
|
|
z(t) -1.854
-3.750
|
-3.000
|
-2.630
|
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t) =
0.3539
|
|
|
|
|
D.stab
|
Coef. Std. Err.
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
stab L1. LD.
_cons
|
-.36999 .1995425
-1.85
-.0338537 .2973658
-0.11
-.1574153 .1193464
-1.32
|
0.097
0.912
0.220
|
-.8213865
-.7065418
-.4273955
|
.0814065
.6388344
.112565
|
|
. dfuller stab, lags(1) noconstant regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
|
Number
|
of obs =
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -1.666
-2.660
-1.950
-1.600
|
D.stab
|
Coef. Std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
stab
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.124626 .0748139
|
-1.67
|
0.127
|
-.2913219
|
|
.0420698
|
|
LD.
|
-.0734688 .3065918
|
-0.24
|
0.815
|
-.7565979
|
|
.6096603
|
|
. dfuller corr, lags(1) trend regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -1.846
-4.380
-3.600
-3.240
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t) =
0.6823
|
D.corr
|
Coef.
|
Std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
corr
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.8940888
|
.484432
|
-1.85
|
0.102
|
-2.011191
|
.2230134
|
|
LD.
|
-.0836537
|
.3499165
|
-0.24
|
0.817
|
-.8905626
|
.7232552
|
|
_trend
|
-.0330764
|
.0203481
|
-1.63
|
0.143
|
-.0799992
|
.0138465
|
|
_cons
|
2.306306
|
1.269209
|
1.82
|
0.107
|
-.6204946
|
5.233107
|
Mémoire de MASTER II : GOUVERNANCE LOCALE ET
ATTRACTIVITE TERRITORIALE DES ENTREPRISES :
CAS DE LA VILLE DE
DOUALA
Par PEGUI Yannick Félix, Maître ès
sciences économiques 112
. dfuller corr, lags(1)
regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 12
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -0.824
-3.750
-3.000
-2.630
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t) =
0.8120
|
D.corr
|
Coef. Std. Err.
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
corr
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.2484167 .3015504
-0.82
|
0.431
|
-.9305712
|
|
.4337378
|
|
LD.
|
-.4036906 .3145613
-1.28
|
0.231
|
-1.115278
|
|
.3078964
|
|
_cons
|
.5382835 .7113096
0.76
|
0.469
|
-1.070811
|
|
2.147378
|
|
. dfuller corr, lags(1)
noconstant regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -1.125
-2.660
-1.950
-1.600
|
D.corr
|
Coef. Std. Err.
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
corr
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.0206607 .0183591
-1.13
|
0.287
|
-.0615674
|
|
.020246
|
|
LD.
|
-.5205269 .2681457
-1.94
|
0.081
|
-1.117993
|
|
.0769389
|
|
. dfuller qual, lags(1) trend
regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -3.801
-4.380
-3.600
-3.240
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t)
|
= 0.0165
|
|
|
|
|
|
D.qual
|
Coef. Std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
qual
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.9888556 .260166
|
-3.80
|
0.005
|
-1.588799
|
|
-.3889118
|
|
LD.
|
.3287419 .2004475
|
1.64
|
0.140
|
-.1334908
|
|
.7909746
|
|
_trend
|
-.0120669 .0084845
|
-1.42
|
0.193
|
-.0316322
|
|
.0074983
|
|
_cons
|
-.661965 .1880986
|
-3.52
|
0.008
|
-1.095721
|
|
-.2282089
|
|
. dfuller qual, lags(1)
regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -3.340
-3.750
-3.000
-2.630
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t)
|
= 0.0132
|
|
|
|
|
D.qual
|
Coef.
|
Std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
qual
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.8514263
|
.2549116
|
-3.34
|
0.009
|
-1.428076
|
-.2747762
|
|
LD.
|
.4244065
|
.1992652
|
2.13
|
0.062
|
-.0263626
|
.8751756
|
|
_cons
|
-.6498049
|
.1982936
|
-3.28
|
0.010
|
-1.098376
|
-.2012336
|
Mémoire de MASTER II : GOUVERNANCE LOCALE ET
ATTRACTIVITE TERRITORIALE DES ENTREPRISES :
CAS DE LA VILLE DE
DOUALA
Par PEGUI Yannick Félix, Maître ès
sciences économiques 113
. dfuller qual, lags(1)
noconstant regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 12
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
|
Statistic
|
value
|
value
|
|
value
|
|
z(t) -0.492
|
-2.660
|
-1.950
|
|
-1.600
|
|
D.qual
|
Coef.
|
Std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
qual L1. LD.
|
-.0236016
.2200794
|
.0479353
.2658973
|
-0.49
0.83
|
0.633
0.427
|
-.1304081
-.3723768
|
|
.083205
.8125355
|
|
. dfuller D.qual, lags(1)
noconstant Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
regress root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
11
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
|
Statistic value
|
value
|
|
value
|
|
z(t) -3.670
-2.660
|
-1.950
|
|
-1.600
|
|
D2.qual
|
Coef. Std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
qual LD. LD2.
|
-1.149053
.3130617
.1599033 .2384403
|
-3.67
0.67
|
0.005
0.519
|
-1.857248
-.3794862
|
|
-.4408582
.6992928
|
|
. dfuller txplb, lags(1) trend regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -4.337
-4.380
-3.600
-3.240
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t)
|
= 0.0028
|
|
|
|
|
|
D.txplb
|
Coef. Std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
txplb
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-1.801727
.4154327
|
-4.34
|
0.002
|
-2.759717
|
|
-.843738
|
|
LD.
|
.6626238 .2792624
|
2.37
|
0.045
|
.0186435
|
|
1.306604
|
|
_trend
|
-.376992 .0880913
|
-4.28
|
0.003
|
-.5801309
|
|
-.1738531
|
|
_cons
|
9.7091 2.283892
|
4.25
|
0.003
|
4.442436
|
|
14.97576
|
|
. dfuller txplb, lags(1) regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -0.568
-3.750
-3.000
-2.630
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t)
|
= 0.8780
|
|
|
|
|
D.txplb
|
Coef.
|
Std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Co nf.
|
interval]
|
|
txplb
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.1483251
|
.2611153
|
-0.57
|
0.584
|
-.7390091
|
.4423588
|
|
LD.
|
-.117998
|
.3615804
|
-0.33
|
0.752
|
-.9359498
|
.6999537
|
|
_cons
|
.302903
|
1.061313
|
0.29
|
0.782
|
-2.097954
|
2.70376
|
Mémoire de MASTER II : GOUVERNANCE LOCALE ET
ATTRACTIVITE TERRITORIALE DES ENTREPRISES :
CAS DE LA VILLE DE
DOUALA
Par PEGUI Yannick Félix, Maître ès
sciences économiques 114
. dfuller txplb, lags(1) noconstant regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 12
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
|
statistic value
|
value
|
|
value
|
|
z(t) -1.620
-2.660
|
-1.950
|
|
-1.600
|
|
D.txplb
|
Coef. std. Err.
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Co nf.
|
interval]
|
|
txplb
L1. LD.
|
-.0751068 .0463639
-1.62
-.1638896 .3086278
-0.53
|
0.136
0.607
|
-.1784121
-.8515553
|
|
.0281985
.523776
|
|
. dfuller plb_hab, lags(1)
trend regress Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
statistic value value value
z(t) -0.186
-4.380
-3.600
-3.240
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t)
|
= 0.9918
|
|
|
|
|
|
D.plb_hab
|
Coef. std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Co nf.
|
interval]
|
|
plb_hab
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.0286423 .1541972
|
-0.19
|
0.857
|
-.3842217
|
|
.3269372
|
|
LD.
|
-.0638079 .3855362
|
-0.17
|
0.873
|
-.9528559
|
|
.8252401
|
|
_trend
|
-2.568322
3.978424
|
-0.65
|
0.537
|
-11.74258
|
|
6.60594
|
|
_cons
|
90.23658 227.3981
|
0.40
|
0.702
|
-434.1445
|
|
614.6176
|
|
. dfuller plb_hab, lags(1)
regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
statistic value value value
z(t) -2.696
-3.750
-3.000
-2.630
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t)
|
= 0.0747
|
|
|
|
|
|
D.plb_hab
|
Coef. std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Co nf.
|
interval]
|
|
plb_hab
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.1233829 .0457619
|
-2.70
|
0.025
|
-.2269035
|
|
-.0198624
|
|
LD.
|
.0287929 .3460685
|
0.08
|
0.936
|
-.7540684
|
|
.8116542
|
|
_cons
|
226.1265 83.19103
|
2.72
|
0.024
|
37.93534
|
|
414.3177
|
|
. dfuller plb_hab, lags(1)
noconstant
|
regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
statistic value value value
z(t) 0.170
-2.660
-1.950
-1.600
|
D.plb_hab
|
Coef.
|
std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Co nf.
|
interval]
|
|
plb_hab
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
.0006994
|
.0041048
|
0.17
|
0.868
|
-.0084466
|
.0098455
|
|
LD.
|
.808301
|
.2479764
|
3.26
|
0.009
|
.2557752
|
1.360827
|
Mémoire de MASTER II : GOUVERNANCE LOCALE ET
ATTRACTIVITE TERRITORIALE DES ENTREPRISES :
CAS DE LA VILLE DE
DOUALA
Par PEGUI Yannick Félix, Maître ès
sciences économiques 115
. dfuller
D.plb_hab, lags(1)
noconstant regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 11
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
|
z(t) -1.585
-2.660
|
-1.950
|
|
-1.600
|
|
D2.plb_hab
|
Coef. Std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
plb_hab
LD. LD2.
|
-.1920311 .1211219
-.1177407 .3192824
|
-1.59
-0.37
|
0.147
0.721
|
-.4660278
-.8400076
|
|
.0819656
.6045263
|
|
. dfuller t_mar, lags(1)
trend regress Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) -0.607
-4.380
-3.600
-3.240
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t)
|
= 0.9786
|
|
|
|
|
|
D.t_mar
|
Coef. Std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
t_mar
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
-.223269 .3677056
|
-0.61
|
0.561
|
-1.0712
|
|
.6246616
|
|
LD.
|
-.3413688 .3679714
|
-0.93
|
0.381
|
-1.189912
|
|
.5071748
|
|
_trend
|
.0059732 .0473719
|
0.13
|
0.903
|
-.1032666
|
|
.115213
|
|
_cons
|
1.128523 1.350082
|
0.84
|
0.427
|
-1.984772
|
|
4.241817
|
|
. dfuller t_mar, lags(1)
regress
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
|
Statistic value
|
value
|
value
|
|
z(t) -1.750
-3.750
|
-3.000
|
-2.630
|
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t) =
0.4053
|
|
|
|
|
D.t_mar
|
Coef. Std. Err.
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
t_mar
L1. LD.
_cons
|
-.1789622 .1022382
-1.75
-.3697841 .2745289
-1.35
.9707427 .478382
2.03
|
0.114
0.211
0.073
|
-.4102411
-.9908116
-.1114326
|
.0523167
.2512435
2.052918
|
|
. dfuller t_mar, lags(1)
noconstant regress Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
root
|
Number
|
of obs =
|
12
|
interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
|
z(t) 2.092
|
|
-2.660
|
|
-1.950
|
-1.600
|
|
D.t_mar
|
Coef.
|
Std. Err. t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
interval]
|
|
t_mar
L1. LD.
|
.0272177
-.3190636
|
.0130073
.3131194
|
2.09
-1.02
|
0.063
0.332
|
-.0017643
-1.016737
|
.0561998
.3786099
|
Mémoire de MASTER II : GOUVERNANCE LOCALE ET
ATTRACTIVITE TERRITORIALE DES ENTREPRISES :
CAS DE LA VILLE DE
DOUALA
Par PEGUI Yannick Félix, Maître ès
sciences économiques 116
. dfuller
D.t_mar, lags(1) noconstant regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 11
Interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
statistic value value value
z(t) -1.198
-2.660
-1.950
-1.600
|
D2.t_mar Coef.
std. Err. t
P>ItI [95% Conf.
Interval]
t_mar
LD. -.4468624 .3730114
-1.20 0.262
-1.290673 .3969479
LD2. -.555668 .2683731
-2.07 0.068
-1.16277 .0514341
|
. dfuller txalph, lags(1) trend
regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 12
Interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
z(t) 0.600
-4.380
-3.600
-3.240
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t) =
0.9970
D.txalph Coef. std.
Err. t P>ItI
[95% Conf. Interval]
|
txalph
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L1.
|
.1756698
|
.2926579
|
0.60
|
0.565
|
-.4992006
|
.8505401
|
|
LD.
|
-.3882847
|
.3876237
|
-1.00
|
0.346
|
-1.282147
|
.5055772
|
|
_trend
|
-.1625492
|
.1749612
|
-0.93
|
0.380
|
-.5660105
|
.2409122
|
|
_cons
|
-14.27295
|
25.59999
|
-0.56
|
0.592
|
-73.30663
|
44.76073
|
. dfuller txalph, lags(1)
regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 12
Interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
|
Statistic value
|
value
|
|
value
|
|
z(t) -2.165
-3.750
|
-3.000
|
|
-2.630
|
|
MacKinnon approximate p-value for z(t) =
0.2192
|
|
|
|
|
|
D.txalph
|
Coef. std.
Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
Interval]
|
|
txalph
L1. LD.
_cons
|
-.0932218 .0430565
-.1935315 .3235634
9.203438 4.071885
|
-2.17
-0.60
2.26
|
0.059
0.565
0.050
|
-.1906223
-.9254828
-.0078066
|
|
.0041787
.5384198
18.41468
|
|
. dfuller txalph, lags(1)
noconstant Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit
|
regress root
|
Number
|
of obs
|
=
|
12
|
Interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
|
z(t) 1.820
|
|
-2.660
|
|
-1.950
|
-1.600
|
|
D.txalph
|
Coef.
|
std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
Interval]
|
|
txalph
L1. LD.
|
.004006
.207228
|
.0022011
.3214859
|
1.82
0.64
|
0.099
0.534
|
-.0008983
-.5090873
|
.0089103
.9235433
|
. dfuller D.txalph,
lags(1) noconstant regress
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit root
Number of obs = 11
Interpolated Dickey-Fuller
Test 1% Critical 5% Critical 10% Critical
Statistic value value value
|
z(t) -1.053
|
|
-2.660
|
|
-1.950
|
-1.600
|
|
D2.txalph
|
Coef.
|
std. Err.
|
t
|
P>ItI
|
[95% Conf.
|
Interval]
|
|
txalph
LD. LD2.
|
-.1745697
-.378391
|
.1658051
.2767883
|
-1.05
-1.37
|
0.320
0.205
|
-.5496469
-1.00453
|
.2005075
.2477476
|
Mémoire de MASTER II : GOUVERNANCE LOCALE ET
ATTRACTIVITE TERRITORIALE DES ENTREPRISES :
CAS DE LA
VILLE DE DOUALA
| 
