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Hydrological modeling of the Congo River basin: Asoil-water balance approach

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par Bahati Chishugi Josue
University of Botswana - Masters of Sciences (M.Sc.) 2008
  

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5.3 Data presentation and Interpretation results

5.3.1 Soil moisture (SM)

Annual average Soil moisture and seasonal soil moisture maps are shown in Figures 38 and 39, respectively. The mean annual soil moisture for the entire basin ranges between 0.7 and 431.4 mm, with highest mean monthly soil moisture of 546.2 mm during November and lowest, in July (146.2mm). A general trend is observed in the spatial distribution of the moisture: the regions around the equator are characterised by high soil moisture and this is reduced as the distance to equator is increased (Figure 37).

Figure 37 Soil moisture correlation with the latitude

Spatially, the highest values are located in the centre of the basin which coincides with the core of the dense equatorial forest. These values range between 200 and 432 mm (mean annual). The lowest value ranging between 0 and 50 mm are located in the western part on Tanzania (eastern part of Tanganyika Lake). This region is also characterised by the small amount of annual rainfall (< 800) compared to other region inside the basin, «Lithosol» as type of soil Available Water content (<120 mm/root depth).

Statistically, the soil moisture distribution over the basin correlates strongly with the hydrological soil group and the climatic parameters such as rainfall and Evapotranspiration. The computed soil moisture values would be better interpreted as indexes of relative wetness rather than absolute estimates because none are calibrated against measured values in the field.

Soil Moisture

mean ann (mm)

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Figure 38 Mean annual moisture (in mm) over the Congo basin.

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Total Soil Moisture- June-July-August (mm)

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Total Soil Moisture- September-October-November (mm)

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Total Soil Moisture- March-April-May (mm)

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Total Soil Moisture- December-January-February (mm)

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Figure 39 Season Soil moisture (in mm per season) over the basin.

5.3.2 Actual Evapotranspiration (AET)

The simulated results for the Actual Evapotranspiration (AET) are monthly estimates for each 6 minutes grid cell covering the Congo basin. Figures 40 and 41 show the mean annual AET and seasonal AET, respectively. The mean annual AET ranges between 564.13 and 1576.8 mm/year with a mean of 1098 mm/year. It is well observed that the AET trends similarly with the Rainfall and the existing land cover map of the basin. Consequntly, the area with lowest AET is located in the south-eastern region of the basin which coincides with low rain feed region of the area.

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Total An nual Actual Evapotranspiration

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Figure 40 Mean Annual Actual Evapotranspiration over the Congo River basin

High annual averaged AET values are sequentially observed over the water bodies such as the Tanganyika with a maximum of 1576.8 mm/year, followed by Upemba, Rukwa, Mweru, Delcommune, Bangwelungu Lakes (1300 - 1531 mm/year) and Kivu, Mai-Ndombe Lakes (>1250 mm/year). Some portions of the Congo River inside the heart of the Tropical forest present also high annual values of AET. Excluding the water bodies, the density of the equatorial forest varies positively with AET distribution.

The seasonal distributions of AET (FigurF41) are characterised by alternation of high values in the northern hemisphere during the two seasons of December-February and March-May and low values in the southern hemisphere; inversely during the other 2 seasons ( June-August and September-November).

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Actual Evapotranspiration: March-April-May

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Actual Evapotranspiration: December-January-February

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Actual Evapotranspiration: Jun-July-August

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Actual Evapotranspiration: September-October-November

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Figure 41 Season Actual Evapotranspiration over the Congo basin

5.3.3 Runoff

The simulated annual Total runoff is shown in Figure42. The mean annual Runoff for for the Congo Basin varies between 1 and 1945 mm with a mean annual runoff of 342 mm. The highest values are concentrated in the heart of the equatorial forest along the Middle Congo river branch. This area records higher rainfalls in the whole basin. The lowest value is simulated in the southern hemisphere around the grid of coordinate 31 0E and and 6.730S (western part of Tanzania). A part the lakes, the highest values of runoff are simulated in the heart of the equatorial forest across the equator, and decrease progressively towards the tropics. This trend is relatively disturbed with the soil types especially in the south-eastern, the extreme north regiond and along the main Congo River. The annual simulated runoff show a general trend strongly influenced by the distribution pattern of precipitation (Figure 43) in the basin, while seasonal and monthly runoff correlate strongly with both rainfall and soil type during dryer seasons. The area with zero runoff values correspond to swamps and some inland lakes where there is negligible or nil flow to the river system.

Figure 42 Mean annual runoff over Congo basin (mm/year)

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Total Annual Rainfall and Runoff

Figure 43 The relationship between precipitation and drigged simulated runoff in the CRB

Seasonally, September-November records the highest amount (658432 mm. /season) of runoff whereas the lowest (358223 mm/season) is generated during June-August. This shows again the influence of rainfall on the generated runoff pattern in the Congo basin where, in general, the period June-July season records the lowest rainfall in the southern hemisphere which occupies more than 55% of the basin area. Two picks runoff are observed in March-May and September-November (658432 mm.) seasons which record higher rainfall during the year in the southern region.

Runoff: December-January-February

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Runoff: March-April-May

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Runoff: September-October-November

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Runoff: Jun-July-August

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Figure 44 Seasonal Runoff grid runoff maps. Top left: December-February, Top right: March-May, Bottom Left: June-August, Bottom right: September-November

5.3.4 Simulated sub-watershed and basin-wide runoff

The runoff averages for each subwateshed are given in table 18 below. The Lualaba subcatchement knows the highest runoff than others. The higher amount accumulated runoff was expected in the Congo but this is not the case due to the presence of swamps in the subcachements where are simulated small values averaged to 0 mm per year.

At the basin scale, the total annual runoff is about 47,418 m3/sec. This amount is comparable to those reported in literature (45,000 m3/sec, Asante, 2000) with a marginal error of 5.1%.

Table 16 Subwatershed runoff averages

Area name

ROF ROF Simulated

Mean Ann (m3/sec)
(mm/year)

ROF Observed
(m3/sec)

Error (%)

Sangha

335.5 3,565

No data

-

Ubangi

348.6 8,274

No data

-

Kasai

344.7 11,545

No data

-

Lualaba

297.3 12,3 14

No data

-

Congo

385.5 12,177

No data

-

CRB

342.0 47,418

45,000

+5.1

Figure 45 shows the local water balance graphs for 11 selected grid cells around selected rainfall stations used in the model. The hydrological behavior correlates strongly with the rainfall betwenn -5 and 5 degree latitude zone. In the South-eastern region (Lubumbashi, Urambo, South-westen) and the Up-North sation, runoff starts to increase in the mid-year as well as the soil moisture. An inverse situation is observed in the high rain fed region.

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OUESSO

 

AET PET PPT ROF SOM

 
 

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KINSHASA

 

AET PET PPT ROF SOM

 
 

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KANANGA

 
 

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PET
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ROF
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Sangh

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Kasa

UP-NORTH

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Cong

Lualab

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LUBUMBASHI(-14, 27)

KISANGANI

BUKAVU (2852, -230)

BOYENDE

URAMBO

AET PET PPT ROF SOM

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Figure 45 Local water balance for selected grid cells in the Congo River Basin.

5.3.5 Vertical Integrated Moisture Convergence

Figures 46 (A-D) show the Mean seasonal distribution of the Vertically Integrated Atmospheric Moisture Convergence (C) over the Congo Basin. The moisture convergence corresponds to the negative values whereas the positive values correspond to the moisture divergence.

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Vertical Convergence Moisture

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Figure 46 Seasonal and Spatial distribution maps for Vertical Integrated Moisture Convergence (in mm/month) over the Congo River basin. A: December-February, B: March-May, C: June-August, D: Septembre-November (Negative values correspond to the moisture convergence, positive values correspond to the moisture divergence).

The basin is well separated into two majors and disctintive zones based on the C parameter: The northern and the southern zones, corresponding exactelly to the northern and the southern hemisphere, respectively (Figures 46, A-D). Large values of Convergence (negative values) are simulated during June-August season (in the southern hemisphere) and December-February season (in the northern hemisphere), whereas during the same season, the northern and southern hemispheres are characterised by moisture divergence. During March-May season, the northern hemisphere sees its convergence moisture moving gradually towards the southern hemisphere, and a divergence moisture zone completely takes place at the end of June-August season. At the same time, the southern hemisphere which was characterised by the highest values of C during December-February starts to loose its C and

falls into a highest convergence moisture zone during June-August. This behaviour is clearly explained from monthly observations of C.

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