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Thesis: Analysis of the Efficiency and the Future of the Foreign Cross-Listing

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par Vincent CHERTIER
EM Lyon - Master in Corporate Finance 2008
  

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IV.5. ArcelorMittal Case Study

Nowadays, ArcelorMittal is cross-listed on 5 European stock exchanges, but also in the United States through ADR:

4 Euronext Amsterdam

4 Euronext Brussels

4 Euronext Paris

4 Bourse de Luxembour

4 BME Madrid

4 Nyse

According to ArcelorMittal, the multiple foreign cross-listings allow the company

4 To have an access to the capital markets

4 To benefit from an more attractive financial profile towards investors

4 To benefit from better liquidity for its shares

ArcelorMittal's five foreign cross-listings are the result of successive merger and acquisition operations:

Initially, Mittal Steel was a Dutch company listed on Euronext Amsterdam and on the Nyse, whereas Arcelor was an European company with headquarters in Luxembourg. Arcelor's multi cross-listings were the result of a previous merger (2002) between Usinor (listed on Euronext Paris), Arbed (listed on Bourse de Luxembourg and on Euronext Brussels) and Aceralia (listed on BME Madrid).

Following the Mittal's successful takeover bid on Arcelor in 2006, the newly formed group ArcelorMittal had required the admission of its ordinary shares on Mittal's former listing places: Euronext Amsterdam and Nyse.

Nowadays, in terms of traded volumes for the ArcelorMittal's shares, Paris, Amsterdam and New York are the most important places, respectively representing during the last 6-months 40.29%, 30.08% and 29.22%54 of the total volumes.

Volumes traded on Brussels, Luxembourg and Madrid are very limited; each one gathering below 0.5% of the total volumes.

54

Sources: ThomsonReuters Datastream

#40: Distribution of the 6-Months Average Daily Volumes

Nyse

29.22%

Amsterdam

30.08%

Paris

40.29%

Madrid,
Brussels,
Luxembourg
below 0.5%

Source: ThomsonReuters Datastream, as of 28/10/2008

#41: Evolutions of the 6-months Average Volume Distribution
between each Listing Places

23.48%

 

22.15%

36.58%

 

39.92%

38.88%

 

36.98%

April 2007 Oct. 2007

 

0.48%

 

0.28%

24.63%

 

33.48%

 

41.36%

 
 

April 2008 Oct. 2008

Jan. 2007

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

35.27%

40.31%

21.45%

100%

2.87%

1.02%

0.92%

Paris Amsterdam Nyse Brussels Madrid Luxembourg

Source: ThomsonReuters Datastream as of 28/10/2008

Note: Brussels and Luxembourg accounts respectively for 0.12% and 0.0023% of the total volumes in October 2008.

#42: Free Float-Rotation and Variations of Share in the total Volumes
between each Listing Places (Period 01/2007-10/2008)

 

Free-Float Rotation Variation of Volumes

Share

Amsterdam

0.47% -25.4%

 

Paris

0.63% +87.8%

 

Brussels

0.00%

+250.3%

 

Madrid

0.01%

-90.3%

 

Luxembourg

0.00%

-96.6%

 

New York

0.42%

-17.1%

 
 

Source: ThomsonReuters Datastream as of 28/10/2008

Since the merger of 2006, it is worth to notice the growing weight hold by Paris in the total volumes at the expense of the other places, more especially Euronext Amsterdam, the Nyse and BME Madrid (N.B: regarding its negligible weight of 0.12% in the total volumes, we do not consider Euronext Brussels and its +250.3%). This example illustrates the tendency enounced in part IV.3.b. Current Tendency: the "Fading Listing", i.e. over the years more and more investors tend to buy and to sell their shares on the most liquid place.

#43: Breakdown of Institutional Investors in ArcelorMittal

U.K
23%

France
17%

North America
31%

Rest of Europe
19%

Belgium : 0.4% Spain : 0.2% Luxembourg : 0.1%

Rest of the World
3%

Netherlands
7%

Source: Thomson Financial

The liquidity attracting the liquidity, that is why the great majority of investors prefer to trade the shares of a company on the main trading market, which are, in the case of ArcelorMittal Paris and Amsterdam. Since the merger between Nyse Group and Euronext (Paris, Amsterdam, Brussels and Luxembourg) has probably facilitated the investments of American investors directly on Euronext Paris.

According to the definition of an efficient foreign cross-listing given in part IV.1. Empirical Determination of the Efficiency, only three listing places present volumes above 5%: Paris, Amsterdam and New York. Hence, there are no financial rationales of keeping the cross-listings in Madrid, Brussels and Luxembourg, but the relevance concerning a complete cross-delisting from these three last places is apparently not a topical subject. Indeed as we stated in part I.3.b. Corporate Governance Motivations, we have to take into consideration factors of "national sensibility" since the company is the result of mergers of several national entities from Netherlands, France, Spain, Luxembourg and Belgium. Hence, such delisting operations would not be unfeasible in the future, but would be complicated by the fact of taking into consideration the realpolitik, i.e. the governments' requirements.

Finally, even if the volumes in Amsterdam and in New York continue to decrease, their figures are quite significant to remain above 5% in a mid-term perspective. The question of delisting from these places is not topical, but could become in the future if the tendency is confirmed.

#44: 25-Days Volatility of ArcelorMittal on its Different Listing Places

2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6

 
 
 

0.4
0.2

 
 
 

Jan-07 Mar-07 May-07 Jul-07 Sep-07 Nov-07 Jan-08 Mar-08 May-08 Jul-08 Sep-08 Nov-08 Brussels Madrid Luxembourg New York Amsterdam Paris

Source: ThomsonReuters Datastream as of 28/10/2008

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