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Thesis: Analysis of the Efficiency and the Future of the Foreign Cross-Listing

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par Vincent CHERTIER
EM Lyon - Master in Corporate Finance 2008
  

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I.3.c. Financial Motivations

Nowadays, the growing globalisation and accessibility to financial markets all around the world make the geography less and less relevant: restrictions for international capital movements disappear, trading costs decrease, stocks exchanges merge or enter into alliances, and so on. The purpose of a foreign cross-listing may be the presence in a wider, more efficient and more innovative financial market than its incorporation country one. We may give the example of Russian and Indian companies which are listed in their domestic financial place, but also often in London or in New York.

Influences on the shares

First of all, a foreign cross-listing increases the trading volumes and therefore improves the overall liquidity. In efficient markets, greater liquidity should be translated into lower cost of capital, since liquidity is valued by investors. Y. Amihud and H. Mendelson12 stated that "the theory of corporate finance has been based on the idea that a company's market value is determined mainly by just two variables: the company's expected after-tax operating cash flows or earnings, and the risk associated with producing them." The two authors also argued that "there is another important factor affecting a company's value: the liquidity of its own securities, debt as well as equity". For instance, since 2008 more and more companies initially listed on the Londoner fast growing market AIM (Alternative Investment Market) have initiated cross-listings on Euronext Alternext in order to offset the lack of liquidity on their primary stock exchange and to benefit from a second European market in the Eurozone, the world's second main currency. This was the goal of IPOs of British companies Proventec and Accsys: "European investors are not comfortable dealing in the AIM market. There aren't many market makers handling our shares, there aren't many market makers handling most AIM shares 11.3 we do not want to knock AIM but want to provide better liquidity for our European investors", Proventec's CEO said13.

12

Y. Amihud and H. Mendelson, 2008, "Liquidity, the Value of the Firm, and Corporate Finance", Journal Applied Corporate Finance

13 See Appendix 2: Article by Jon Mainwaring, The Independent published on Sunday, 10 February 2008, "AIM companies bid for dual listings on Euronext to boost liquidity"

Then, the reduction of transaction costs should also improve the volumes and the liquidity, by encouraging investors to perform more buy/sell operations. However, in his study14 published in 2001, J. Hamet highlighted that cross-listings may affect the equilibrium of the markets. Indeed, Hamet's rationale suggests that trades in each listing place may risk to become more limited, not facilitating the pricing discovery process.

Moreover, in part I.3.b. Corporate Governance Motivations, we have already dealt with the influence of the shareholding diversification for the corporate governance. However, according to R. Merton, it is also possible to establish the positive impact of the shareholder basis widening on the stock price. R. Merton15 stated "when the shareholder base broadens, risks' sharing improves, bringing about a positive impact on stock prices. [..] Smaller shareholder base is associated with lower firm value".

Finally, we may imagine that a foreign cross-listing in markets having different time zones may reduce the volatility of the stock. In this perspective, P. Lowengrub and M. Melvin16 arrived at the conclusion that pricing errors are reduced because "it facilitates the process of assessing a stock's value at the beginning of the trading session. At the opening of the trading, prices are less volatile for shares that traded overnight on another exchange than for those that did not".

Influences on the cost of capital

Through a foreign cross-listing, there are different ways to influence a company's financing.

Firstly, we may consider a positive influence on the cost of capital thanks to a better access to capital markets. Indeed, empirical studies17 showed that the cost of equity generally declines after a foreign cross-listing. This decline may be explained by the access to easier and more competitive financing conditions

14 J. Hamet, 2001, "La cotation des titres d'une entreprise française sur un marché étranger et ses conséquences pour l'actionnaire", PUF

15 R. Merton, 1987, "A simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information", Journal of Finance 72, No.3

16 P. Lowengrub and M. Melvin, 2006, "Before and After International Cross-Listings: An Intraday Examination of Volume and Volatility"

17

A. Karolyi, 1998; R. Stulz, 1999; V. Errunza and D. Miller, 2000

(loans, issuance of shares, equity-linked or bonds instruments), but also by the elements previously given in part I.3.b Corporate Governance Motivations, i.e. a decrease of transaction costs for investors, a higher reliability and quality of information provided to investors, as well as a better investor protection. For instance, a higher reliability and quality of information may reduce the investor's cost for researching information and the risk related to a company, therefore allowing the company to obtain lower cost of funding, R. Stulz18.

Secondly, the increase of the company's geographical customer basis helps to lower the company's beta R (see Appendix 1) which impacts downwards the cost of capital, R. Stulz18, P. Martin and H. Rey19, D. Lombardo and M. Pagano20.

Influences on the valuation

As a matter of fact, it is well established that the cost of funding has an influence on the company's valuation.

In its study, L. Zingales21 measured the difference between market value and book value, with the conclusion that "shares of foreign companies listed both in the company's home market and on a U.S. stock market traditionally trade at a higher valuation as a percentage of book value than domestic peers that aren't cross-listed. A cross-listed company traded at 150% of book value and a similar company from the same country listed only on their home market traded at 120% of book value, the valuation premium would be 30 percentage points. [..] The premium for listing on both U.S. and foreign markets averaged 51 percentage points from 1997 to 2001. It dropped to 31 percentage points between 2002 and 2005". As a consequence, we may deduct that investors would pay more for a company listed in the United States, mainly for the reasons given previously in this research.

The influence of the corporate governance on company's valuation had already been highlighted by the work of P. Hostak, E. Karaoglu, T. Lys and Y. Yang22, who noticed that "compared to foreign firms that maintained their ADRs, foreign firms which voluntarily delisted have weaker corporate governance, had a less negative

18 R. Stulz, 1999, "Globalization of Equity Markets and the Cost of Capital"

19 P. Martin and H. Rey, 1999, "Financial Integration and Asset Returns"

20 D. Lombardo and M. Pagano, 1999, "Law and Equity Markets: A Simple Model"

21 L. Zingales, 2006, "Is the U.S. capital market losing its competitive edge?"

22

P. Hostak,, E. Karaoglu, T. Lys and Y. Yang, 2007, "An Examination of the Impact of the SarbanesOxley Act on the Attractiveness of US Capital Markets for Foreign Firms"

stock market reaction when SOX was passed, and suffered a significant price decline in their home-markets when they announced their intention to delist."

Over the years, some financial places have managed to become the center of gravity for some sectors: Nasdaq has become a natural stock exchange for investors and funds specialized in technology-IT-biotech, whereas the places of London, Toronto and Sydney own a real expertise in Mining and Oil & Gas sectors. Such evidence has already been showed by A. Blass and Y. Yafeh23 with the demonstration that Dutch and Israeli companies performing a listing in the United States are "young, fast growing, overwhelmingly high-tech oriented and highquality innovative".

Furthermore, not being listed in a place specialized in its sector, may contribute to a lower the liquidity, and therefore the company's stock underperformance in comparison to its sector.

Being foreign cross-listed may also help the company to gain in price-to-earnings ratio (P/E). Indeed, it is well established that the difference of the average P/E between stock exchanges (see exhibit #10) may offer substantial gap, and therefore lead to important difference in market capitalisation for companies evolving in the same sector.

#10: Historical Average P/E of the World Main Stock Exchanges
(Period 2000-2007)24

61.8 59.8

31.9

24.1 22.6 21.1 20.9 20.2 19.2 17.9 16.7 16.4 14.9 14.1 13.2

23 A. Blass and Y. Yafeh, 1999, "Vagabond Shoes Longing to Stray: Why Foreign Firms List in the United States"

24

Sources: World Federation of Exchanges, Bloomberg, ThomsonReuters Datastream

As we can see in the exhibit #10, there are major differences of valuation between stock exchanges. For instance, the Nasdaq offers a 7-years average P/E of 59.8 whereas the Nyse and Euronext Paris offer respectively 20.2 and 14.9. By taking advantage of this mispricing (low domestic P/E in comparison to foreign P/E), a company may initiate a foreign cross-listing on a stock exchange where its peers benefit from relative higher P/E.

#11: 2007 P/E Comparison of Foreign Companies Foreign Cross-Listed
on American Stock Exchanges

Origin Country

Average P/E of Foreign

Average P/E on the Primary Premium/

 

Companies on the Nyse

Stock Exchange Discount

Latin America

13.1x

9.9x

 
 
 

India

11.7x

9.7x

20%

 

China Hong Kong

11.9x

8.4x

41%

 

Shanghai

19.2x

13.3x

44%

 

Canada

15.5x

11.2x

39%

 

U.K

10.4x

7.7x

34%

 

Western Europe

12.1x

10.6x

14%

 

Japan

11.7x

12.5x

(7%)

South Korea

7.4x

8.4x (12%)

 

Average P/E of Foreign
Companies on the Nasdaq

 

Average NewTech's P/E on
the Tel Aviv SE

 

Premium/
Discount

 
 
 
 
 
 

Israel* 15.1x 13.8x 9%

P/Es are calculated with 2007 net incomes and market capitalisations as of the 06/11/2008

* Regarding Israeli companies, we compared those cross-listed on the Nasdaq, due to their large presence on this stock exchange

Sources: ThomsonReuters Datastream, Bloomberg

The exhibit #11 corroborates the statement previously enounced concerning the
companies originating from MEDC25 but also from emerging countries. However,
two notable exceptions exist with the cases of Japanese and South Korean

25 More Economically Developed Countries (Western and Northern Europe, Canada, the United States, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand)

companies, consequence of the 1990s stagflation impact and overvalued companies in comparison to their results.

By analyzing the premium/discount, it emerges that a foreign cross-listing on the Nyse allows companies to gain on average 23% in P/E; figure which is quite significant because it concerns companies with market capitalisation in billion U.S. Dollars.

Other influences

Through a foreign cross-listing and the exercise of stock-options, a company may dispose of a new mean to pay its employees in foreign subsidiaries. This solution is more convenient, may be done at a lower cost and enables the association of foreign employees in the capital.

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