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Relation inflation et croissance économique dans les pays de l'UEMOA

( Télécharger le fichier original )
par Wassakou KOUAME
Université Cocody- Abidjan - DEA du Nouveau Programme de Troisième Cycle Interuniversitaire  2009
  

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ANNEXES

Annexe 1: Estimations du modèle pour les différents taux d'inflation

v Test de spécification de Hausman

v Résultats des regressions

* ****k=7**** */

xtreg tcr tcpop tci tcx tcdp tctbbs infld17 infld27,re

/* ****k=8**** */

xtreg tcr tcpop tci tcx tcdp tctbbs infld18 infld28,re

/* ****k=9**** */

xtreg tcr tcpop tci tcx tcdp tctbbs infld19 infld29,re

/* ****k=10**** */

xtreg tcr tcpop tci tcx tcdp tctbbs infld110 infld210,re

/* ****k=11**** */

xtreg tcr tcpop tci tcx tcdp tctbbs infld111 infld211,re

Annexe 2 : Evolution du taux de croissance économique et du taux d'inflation dans les pays de l'UEMOA

Date

INFL_BN

TCR_BN

INFL_BF

TCR_BF

INFL_CI

TCR_CI

INFL_ML

1970

6,293706294

2,09688826

#VALEUR!

0,115222123

 

10,37498554

5,407407407

1971

5,921052632

-1,475426869

-3,950819672

1,455242967

 

9,456596111

6,407407407

1972

5,590062112

6,440046402

-2,950819672

2,377171091

0,41322314

4,236613129

7,407407407

1973

4,705882353

3,642788731

7,432432432

0,674677435

11,11111111

5,93944963

4,702194357

1974

15,4494382

3,444649799

8,805031447

7,9024605

17,40740741

4,327302774

5,988023952

1975

14,59854015

-4,879401164

18,78612717

3,259514473

11,35646688

8,25274581

20,62146893

1976

13,5881104

0,838757732

-8,515815085

8,589616947

11,898017

12,91644771

10,77283372

1977

5,420560748

5,009955681

30,05319149

0,188000323

27,59493671

7,31463715

7,610993658

1978

11,87943262

1,204966665

8,384458078

4,664958334

12,8968254

10,90944269

10,21611002

1979

13,31220285

6,545388614

14,90566038

3,795808995

16,69595782

2,394422538

10,69518717

1980

10,48951049

6,818310738

12,15106732

0,763344601

14,60843373

-10,95781367

9,017713366

1981

8,101265823

10,06053847

7,613469985

4,154608962

8,804204993

3,50039751

7,828655835

1982

15,57377049

2,1953632

11,97278912

9,641283381

7,367149758

0,20111682

4,657534247

1983

4,559270517

-4,371945894

8,383961118

0,400290533

5,961754781

-3,900387749

7,984293194

1984

1,841085271

7,86245032

4,820627803

-1,726604826

4,246284501

-2,701271362

10,3030303

1985

-4,852521408

7,520483362

6,951871658

8,475518984

1,83299389

4,501353944

9,89010989

1986

-4

2,149851

-2,53968254

8,418036495

6,876790831

3,259241897

-3,856382979

1987

3,229166667

-1,500312565

-2,850162866

-1,374283648

6,881143878

-0,293190416

-14,21853389

1988

-0,504540868

3,427120795

4,191114837

6,343788785

6,939799331

1,04657413

7,677051887

1989

3,448275862

-2,863571282

-0,321802092

1,26256598

1,016419077

2,997684461

-0,09199632

1990

1,960784314

3,200673826

-0,807102502

-0,218718076

-0,773993808

-1,102807145

1,565377532

1991

0,961538462

4,75413181

3,73270952

8,60120493

1,716068643

0,018431481

1,541251133

1992

0

3,006223605

-2,634712087

8,677785835

3,987730061

-0,088454805

-5,982142857

1993

1,639344262

5,797414181

0,057544021

5,504893238

2,685840708

-0,409465666

-0,189933523

1994

40,70208729

1,997110563

24,71819646

2,099472963

25,96630327

2,09895978

24,07231208

1995

12,76129467

5,999000167

7,811491285

6,484044221

14,31943352

7,101006742

12,57668712

1996

4,111227388

4,299428946

6,107804391

9,867209709

1,858224363

6,899491331

6,42112358

1997

3,7

5,735384565

2,699980681

6,834342867

3,9

6,200158437

-0,697590641

1998

5,785920926

3,96032763

5,160662123

8,468635456

4,812319538

5,399883137

4,028197382

1999

0,326722893

5,355161494

-1,090109551

3,746605345

0,696250956

1,599999623

-1,202081295

2000

4,196806301

4,848019666

-0,30684034

1,574231194

2,537801079

-2,300032083

-0,736264552

2001

4,003262077

6,248410555

4,870885315

6,757948723

4,348453153

0,099902327

5,170571311

2002

2,43203458

4,4

2,302405806

4,6

3,079048954

-1,599950878

5,025793341

2003

1,49388994

3,882734698

2,031961239

8,012226967

3,301411631

-1,699999893

-1,324700454

2004

0,9

3,1

-0,4

4,637229645

1,4

1,500632577

-3,1

2005

5,364520663

2,9

6,410743162

7,139994274

3,895463239

1,812987366

6,397882939

TCR_ML

INFL_NG

TCR_NG

INFL_SN

TCR_SN

INFL_TG

TCR_TG

6,135708826

7,448818898

3,054815087

4,115107914

8,562045508

5,823129252

2,528154447

2,570565912

8,448818898

5,680264019

5,115107914

-0,140449438

6,823129252

0

5,844068163

9,448818898

-5,16676279

6,115107914

6,383208915

7,823129252

7,621609505

-1,456892812

11,8705036

-17,04788181

11,27118644

-5,58324011

3,785488959

3,839477887

-1,527626741

3,536977492

8,7763532

16,60319878

4,200775528

12,76595745

4,834180262

11,62442154

9,00621118

-2,794627739

31,61332462

7,535662601

18,05929919

2,436379871

13,62447884

23,64672365

0,678155282

1,141439206

8,920503701

11,41552511

-2,048440321

6,347824284

23,04147465

7,765571457

11,28557409

-2,682905304

22,54098361

6,953979151

-1,462016803

10,11235955

13,47205986

3,439153439

-3,95393126

0,501672241

11,04837751

10,39387525

7,31292517

7,147174373

9,676044331

6,987064489

7,487520799

-5,169922398

-4,2578356

10,30110935

-2,232022666

8,705790906

-3,291854205

12,38390093

14,5775721

-4,995601475

22,98850575

0,608444794

5,934930282

-1,186347874

19,6969697

-3,31494434

-4,596319792

11,56542056

1,622699546

17,34728316

15,33985962

11,04718067

-3,581435631

5,284460506

-2,513089005

-4,75060601

11,64797239

2,161902474

9,430051813

-5,415830075

4,130707673

8,378088077

-16,82488386

11,77228233

-3,981503253

-3,598484848

5,558348696

1,361838388

-0,89197225

7,72219524

13,06752708

3,771120725

-1,768172888

5,556731583

8,434764834

-3,209069946

-1,773369402

6,114961272

4,562259105

4,134875708

1,584277549

1,163627639

-6,690490371

-1,101591187

-4,129850173

3,987060859

0,047270149

0,493534695

-0,203283021

-1,425531915

6,543935644

-1,823281907

5,064023729

-10,74887786

6,178175032

11,75671776

-2,805957263

-0,726005518

0,448979592

-1,411554087

-1,217575437

4,13506013

0,428330574

-5,526666667

-0,7605675

0,325071109

3,904176561

1,018220793

16,47419383

-0,586820732

0,029846165

1,444362564

-1,761846902

-0,396585333

0,371352785

0,228806773

-3,170374317

0,844928119

0,72642743

0

2,205187306

4,016913319

0,72642743

3,93451644

-1,154249738

0,951968845

-0,742115028

14,67484377

-3,175813008

0,951968845

3,95843812

35,98726115

4,00057151

32,08722741

2,899494039

57,69465582

4,00057151

1,73948251

10,6167057

2,706415716

8,081761006

5,200964142

16,46228097

4,662976507

6,721455496

5,251705481

3,303905832

2,749490835

5,100888234

4,660514513

7,4

4,913007738

3,471084539

4,790884371

1,6

5,000581959

5,303112162

4

8,093786117

4,637681159

9,802324742

1,181102362

5,696755867

-1,215574549

-2,305268548

5,667845809

-2,302125038

-1,601365102

0,811030008

5,102185028

-0,081554637

2,6

-3,258635874

2,909325505

-0,19441903

0,740949316

5,598645907

1,886134541

-0,9

11,88549464

3,982935078

5,8

2,980730069

5,598200943

3,91939905

2

4,266883645

2,644020711

5,799747529

2,335337932

1,199347404

3,059292855

3,505438703

7,621980827

-1,614407692

3,799506586

-0,033302012

6,700166854

-0,928967969

2,005398874

2,320488237

0,2

-1,000164601

0,5

5,600059262

0,4

-0,801005667

6,070707453

7,821025828

7,000368708

1,705000581

5,499944518

6,800811985

0,797627753

Annexe 3: Relation entre l'inflation et la croissance économique dans l'UEMOA

TCR

Source : Réalisé par l'auteur à partir des figures 1à 7

k*

INFL

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