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La vérification empirique de la courbe de Philips en république démocratique du Congo de 1988-2015.


par Hardy Meshac Biaya Muteba
Université de Kinshasa - Licence 2018
  

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ANNEXE II

Tableau II.1 : Série dtxinf (taux d'inflation stationnaire), en différence première.

Null Hypothesis: DTXINF has a unit root

 

Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

 

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=0)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

t-Statistic

  Prob.*

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-6.793082

 0.0000

Test critical values:

1% level

 

-4.356068

 
 

5% level

 

-3.595026

 
 

10% level

 

-3.233456

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

*MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation

 

Dependent Variable: D(DTXINF)

 
 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 09/10/19 Time: 19:50

 
 

Sample (adjusted): 1990 2015

 
 

Included observations: 26 after adjustments

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

DTXINF(-1)

-1.334710

0.196481

-6.793082

0.0000

C

288.7883

929.1660

0.310804

0.7587

@TREND(1988)

-20.27504

56.93616

-0.356101

0.7250

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Tableau II.2 :Série dtxch (taux de chomage stationnaire), en différence première.

Null Hypothesis: DTXCH has a unit root

 

Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

 

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=0)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

t-Statistic

  Prob.*

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-5.086783

 0.0019

Test critical values:

1% level

 

-4.356068

 
 

5% level

 

-3.595026

 
 

10% level

 

-3.233456

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

*MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation

 

Dependent Variable: D(DTXCH)

 
 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 09/10/19 Time: 19:58

 
 

Sample (adjusted): 1990 2015

 
 

Included observations: 26 after adjustments

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

DTXCH(-1)

-1.052569

0.206922

-5.086783

0.0000

C

2.223211

2.812184

0.790564

0.4373

@TREND(1988)

-0.179932

0.173207

-1.038831

0.3097


Tableau II.3 : Série des résidus stationnaire en niveau(e)

Null Hypothesis: E has a unit root

 

Exogenous: Constant, Linear Trend

 

Lag Length: 0 (Automatic - based on SIC, maxlag=0)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

t-Statistic

  Prob.*

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic

-6.848402

 0.0000

Test critical values:

1% level

 

-4.356068

 
 

5% level

 

-3.595026

 
 

10% level

 

-3.233456

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

*MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation

 

Dependent Variable: D(E)

 
 

Method: Least Squares

 
 

Date: 09/10/19 Time: 20:01

 
 

Sample (adjusted): 1990 2015

 
 

Included observations: 26 after adjustments

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Variable

Coefficient

Std. Error

t-Statistic

Prob.  

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

E(-1)

-1.341935

0.195949

-6.848402

0.0000

C

279.6580

926.6031

0.301810

0.7655

@TREND(1988)

-19.27099

56.77558

-0.339424

0.7374

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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