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La relation inflation-chômage en zone CEMAC


par Jean-Baptiste IDAGA
Université Omar Bongo - Master 2024
  

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Annexe 4 : Test de spécification de Hausman

. xtreg chomage inflation pibreel investtotal txinteretreel txdechangereel popact, fe

Fixed-effects (within) regression Number of obs = 174 Group variable: id Number of groups = 6

R-sq: Obs per group:

within = 0.1229 min = 29 between = 0.1730 avg = 29.0 overall = 0.1488 max = 29

F(6,162) = 3.78 corr(u_i, Xb) = -0.5424 Prob > F = 0.0015

chomage

Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

inflation

-.0138686 .0131712 -1.05 0.294 -.0398779 .0121408

pibreel

-.002417 .0086742 -0.28 0.781 -.0195461 .0147121

investtotal

-.0015792 .0064148 -0.25 0.806 -.0142467 .0110882

txinteretreel

-.1511477 .0609788 -2.48 0.014 -.2715635 -.0307318

txdechangereel

-.0240256 .0104966 -2.29 0.023 -.0447535 -.0032977

popact

.1606087 .0386909 4.15 0.000 .084205 .2370123

_cons

.254408 2.363055 0.11 0.914 -4.411955 4.920771

sigma_u

8.6508356

sigma_e

1.024694

rho

.98616366 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

F test that all u_i=0: F(5, 162) = 1078.46 Prob > F = 0.0000

. xtreg chomage inflation pibreel investtotal txinteretreel txdechangereel popact, re

Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs = 174

Group variable: id Number of groups = 6

R-sq: Obs per group:

within = 0.0007 min = 29 between = 0.6350 avg = 29.0 overall = 0.3659 max = 29

Wald chi2(6) = 96.38 corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

chomage

Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

inflation

-.146962 .0743187 -1.98 0.048 -.2926239 -.0013

pibreel

-.2367551 .046209 -5.12 0.000 -.327323 -.1461872

investtotal

.2017864 .0293602 6.87 0.000 .1442416 .2593313

txinteretreel

.4805302 .2819672 1.70 0.088 -.0721153 1.033176

txdechangereel

-.0990087 .0593879 -1.67 0.095 -.2154069 .0173895

popact

-.2296692 .0519128 -4.42 0.000 -.3314164 -.1279221

_cons

18.88506 3.661218 5.16 0.000 11.7092 26.06091

sigma_u

0

sigma_e

1.024694

rho

0 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

. hausman fixed random, sigmamore

Note: the rank of the differenced variance matrix (5) does not equal the number of coefficients being tested (6); be sure this is what you expect, or there may be problems computing the test. Examine the output of your estimators for anything unexpected and possibly consider scaling your variables so that the coefficients are on a similar scale.

Coefficients

 

(b) (B) (b-B) sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B)) fixed random Difference S.E.

inflation

-.0138686 -.146962 .1330934 .0157028

pibreel

-.002417 -.2367551 .2343381 .0191634

investtotal

-.0015792 .2017864 -.2033656 .022508

txinteretr~l

-.1511477 .4805302 -.6316779 .2101591

txdechange~l

-.0240256 -.0990087 .0749831 .0117295

popact

.1606087 -.2296692 .3902779 .2170115

b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic

chi2(5) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)

= 162.13

Prob>chi2 = 0.0000

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