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La relation inflation-chômage en zone CEMAC


par Jean-Baptiste IDAGA
Université Omar Bongo - Master 2024
  

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ANNEXES

Tests pré-estimation :

Annexe 1 : Statistiques descriptives

. sum chomage inflation pibreel investtotal txinteretreel txdechangereel popact

Variable

Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max

chomage

174 9.877236 7.291541 .63 22.667

inflation

174 4.323189 6.791749 -8 43.7

pibreel

174 4.757779 10.99244 -36.4 95.26215

investtotal

174 26.11671 17.75203 2.099 115.102

txinteretr~l

174 5.061767 1.779207 2.45 8.6

txdechange~l

174 -.5054564 8.004629 -36.5306 24.2

popact

174 65.30444 9.251472 47.494 83.184

Annexe 2 : Test de multicolinéarité

. corr chomage inflation pibreel investtotal txinteretreel txinteretreel popact (obs=174)

 

chomage inflat~n pibreel invest~l txinte~l txinte~l popact

chomage

1.0000

inflation

-0.0137 1.0000

pibreel

-0.1131 0.0108 1.0000

investtotal

0.4143 0.1205 0.4105 1.0000

txinteretr~l

-0.0073 0.3231 0.2376 0.1080 1.0000

txinteretr~l

-0.0073 0.3231 0.2376 0.1080 1.0000 1.0000

popact

-0.3901 0.0040 -0.0706 -0.2788 0.1699 0.1699 1.0000

Annexe 3 : Test d'homogénéité

. xtrc chomage inflation pibreel investtotal txinteretreel txdechangereel popact

Random-coefficients regression Number of obs = 174

Group variable: id Number of groups = 6

Obs per group:

min = 29 avg = 29.0 max = 29

Wald chi2(6) = 27.76

Prob > chi2 = 0.0001

chomage

Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

inflation

-.001501 .0083613 -0.18 0.858 -.0178889 .0148868

pibreel

.0070939 .0409496 0.17 0.862 -.0731658 .0873537

investtotal

-.0177077 .0239198 -0.74 0.459 -.0645896 .0291742

txinteretreel

.2268138 .2741482 0.83 0.408 -.3105067 .7641343

txdechangereel

-.0009121 .007137 -0.13 0.898 -.0149003 .0130762

popact

-.5464922 .1661568 -3.29 0.001 -.8721535 -.220831

_cons

44.65348 14.34881 3.11 0.002 16.53032 72.77663

Test of parameter constancy: chi2(35) = 65991.87 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

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