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Public debt of Togo: an attempt to identify the explanatory factors


par Kokou Edem TENGUE
Université de Lomé - Doctorat 2021
  

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4.2 DESCRIPTIVE ANALYSIS OF THE LEVEL OF PUBLIC DEBT IN TOGO

4.2.1 STRUCTURE OF THE DEBT AND DESCRIPTIVE STUDY OF THE EXTERNAL DEBT OF TOGO

4.2.1.1 Structure of the public debt, external debt structure and its evolution

4.2.1.1.1 Structure of public / government debt

The Togolese public debt is divided in to domestic debt (35.84%) and external debt (64.05%) at 31 December 2008. These figures are explained in the table below:

Table 1: Distribution of the public debt Togo on 31/12/2008

CREDITORS

AMOUNT (in CFA Francs)

PERCENTAGE

DOMESTIC DEBT

396,507,600,000

35.84%

EXTERNAL DEBT

709,876,453,787

64.16%

TOTAL

1 106 384 053 787

100.00%

Source: Directorate of Public Debt

4.2.1.1.2 Structure and evolution of the external debt
4.2.1.1.2.1 Structure of the external public debt

Togo`s external debt is mostly a long term debt. It comes mainly from public loan for development and structural adjustment loans; and then if need be from private origin (commercial debt).

Togo `s external debt is divided into multilateral debt, bilateral debt with Paris Club, bilateral debt with non Paris Club and Private debt owed to private banks.

4.2.1.1.2.2 Evolution of Togo's external debt between 1980 and 2008

Over that period, the external debt of Togo evolved in two steps:

Graph 1: Evolution of the total external debt of Togo between 1980 and 2008

Billion CFA francs

Evolution of the total external debt of Togo between 1980

Year

Source: Author based on data from the Directorate of Public Debt

The first period runs from 1980 to 1993

- The outstanding debt has trended upward despite the repayments, discounts and cancellations obtained. It moved from 213.4 to 349.4 billion CFA francs in 1990, which is an increase in real terms of 61%. This increase is the result of the combined effects of three factors including:

1 - Capitalization of interests in the contexts of consolidation agreements.

2 - New commitments of the State

3 - Changes in exchange rates of some major currencies including the dollar, pound sterling, the Swiss franc, etc.

The second period runs from 1994 to 2008

- In 1994, following the devaluation of the CFA franc in January, the loans outstanding went from single to double as the exposure is denominated in foreign currency for nearly all loans. On January 1st, 1994, the loans outstanding were 349.4 billion CFA francs and on 31 December 1994 it amounted to 707.5 billion CFA francs.

- From 1995 to 2008, the increase in debt was irregular and can be explained by the breakdown of international cooperation with some donors. It is however mitigated by the efforts made by the government refund, cancellations from member countries of the Paris Club and the substantial discounts that have been granted by friendly countries. December 31, 2008, the outstanding external debt of Togo was about 709.88 billion CFA francs.

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