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Déterminants de la malnutrition chronique chez les enfants de moins de cinq ans en république démocratique du Congo. Modélisation d’une réponse polytomique (régression logistique multinomiale).


par Antoine DIKOKE OLEKO DJAMBA
ISTM/Kinshasa - Master en bio-statistique 2020
  

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Abstract

Background: Malnutrition, especially in children, is a real problem that grips humanity, preventing many individuals, even entire societies, from realizing their full potential (Briend, 1997).

It remains a public health problem among vulnerable groups in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), which constitute young children, pregnant women and breastfeeding women in particular.

Indeed, one in four children under five, or 146 million children in developing countries, is underweight for their age, which increases their risk of premature death (PEBN, 2006). Because malnutrition prevents these children from reaching their full physical and mental potential. Health and physical consequences of prolonged states of malnutrition in children: retardation of their physical growth and motor development; Lower intelligence quotient (IQ), greater behavioral problems and poor social skills, susceptibility to disease (FAO, 2008; R Black, 2003).

The DRC (Congo) is one of the countries affected by malnutrition (mortality) of children under five, aggravated by undernutrition (Mukalay AM et al, 2009).

Also, we are concerned through this study to determine the various factors associated with the malnutrition of children under five in the DRC.

Objectives : The purpose of this study is to determine the factors associated with the malnutrition of children under five years old between 2013-2014, in the DRC. To achieve this, we have defined the following specific objectives: determine the prevalence of malnutrition in children under five in the DRC, to be distributed in each province between 2013-2014, identify the factors associated with chronic malnutrition in children under five less than five years between 2013-2014, in the DRC.

Methods: To better achieve the objective we have set for ourselves, we have opted for a modeling of a polytomous response (multinomial logistic regression) in order to identify the different determinants of chronic malnutrition in children under five, in DR. Congo. We carried out this study on the data collected in a cross-sectional manner using retrospective data through the 2013-2014 DHS database, because this survey meets all the criteria of a probability sampling of mothers of children under five. years and their own children in DR Congo. After

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processing the data from this database, we selected a sample of 8,059 statistical units. These data were analyzed using SPSS Version 25, R and Stata12 software.

Results: The first specific objective of this study was to determine the prevalence of malnutrition in children under five in the DRC, to be distributed in each province between 20132014, after analyzing the data, it was found that the prevalence of severe chronic malnutrition was 30% in the DRC, i.e. the province of South Kivu presented the highest prevalence (33.7%), while the province of Kinshasa presented a low prevalence with (3.5% ). Moderate chronic malnutrition showed that the DRC has a prevalence of (20.77%), the highest prevalence was observed in the province of Sankuru with 28.4% and the lowest prevalence was observed in the province of Kinshasa with (10.7%). Regarding mild chronic malnutrition, the DRC presented a prevalence of (22.30), i.e. a high presence was observed in the province of Equateur with (26.7%) while the low prevalence was observed in the province of Sankuru with (15.8%). Based on these results, the first objective has been achieved.

The second specific objective was to identify the factors associated with the different variants of chronic malnutrition in children under 5 years 2013-2014 in the DRC. Here it is shown that children in rural areas have 26% more risk of developing severe malnutrition than those in urban areas, OR: 1.26 (1.04-1.52), low level of education (illiterate ) has 3.09 times more risk of developing severe chronic malnutrition than high school and university level, OR: 3.09 (2.114.55), male children have 59% more risk of suffering of severe chronic malnutrition than female children, OR: 1.59 (1.40-1.81), vaccination status revealed a statistically significant relationship with chronic malnutrition, unvaccinated have 28% lower risk to suffer from moderate chronic malnutrition than vaccinated children, OR: 0.72 (0.58-0.90). It is shown that with each increase in one month, children have a 59% greater risk of developing severe chronic malnutrition, OR: 1.59 (1.39-1.81). Children living in the south-eastern provinces are 7.75 times more likely to suffer from severe chronic malnutrition than those living in the province of Kinshasa (4.4313.57). Mothers with an inter-reproductive interval = 24 months have a 44% greater risk of suffering from severe chronic malnutrition than children of mothers with an inter-reproductive interval> 24 months, OR: 1.44 (1.23-1.68), children of poor parents are 83% more likely to develop severe chronic malnutrition than children of rich parents, OR: 1.83 (1.50-2.24). Finally, the age of the mother is associated with the appearance of chronic malnutrition, with each increase of one year of the mother, the children have 3% less risk of severe malnutrition, OR: 0.97 (0.96-0.99). From all of the above, this second goal has been well achieved.

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Conclusion: This study identified the following determinants of chronic malnutrition: children living in rural areas, the mother's low level of education, the child's male sex, and the child's age. Vaccinated children, central and south-eastern provinces of the DRC, the inter-reproductive interval = 24 months, low income level, and finally, younger mothers. Improving the socioeconomic, cultural and health conditions of the people of the DRC would reduce chronic malnutrition among children under five.

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