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Public debt of Togo: an attempt to identify the explanatory factors


par Kokou Edem TENGUE
Université de Lomé - Doctorat 2021
  

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4.2.2 Domestic debt

Until 1989, Togo's domestic debt was not significant. This debt was partly due to technical and administrative problems and not to cash tensions. But since 1990, as a result of socio-political unrest characterized by the paralysis of economic activities and resource scarcity, the arrears have increased. They went from 1.32 billion CFA francs in 1990 to about 396.508 billion CFA francs at 31 December 2008.

4.2.2.1 STRUCTURE AND EVOLUTION OF DOMESTIC DEBT

4.2.2.1.1 Structure of the domestic public debt

At 31 December 2008, the stock of the domestic debt of Togo accounted for 32.29o/o to GDP. It consisted of a commercial debt (18.40o/o) owed to private creditors and public enterprises, financial debt (52.33°/0), which is the set of financial aid granted by banks and public enterprises as well as the bond loans, social debt (23.100/0) constituted of social contributions owed to the National Social Security Fund and the Pension Fund of Togo and finally, commitments and risks (6.16o/o) mainly owed to the Central Bank of West African States and depositors of funds with the Treasury of Togo.

Financial debt 54%

Social debt 22%

Commitments and risks 6%

Commercial debt 18%

Structure of Togo's domestic debt in 2008

- Graph NO 2 : Structure of Togo `s domestic debt as at 31 December 2008

Source: Author based on data from the Directorate of Public Debt

4.2.2.1.2 Comparative evolution of Togo's domestic debt and budget deficit between 1990 and 2008

Domestic debt trended upward and budget deficit has been stranding between 1990 and 2007.

Graph N0 3 : Comparative evolution of domestic debt and budget deficit between 1990 and 2003

Comparative evolution of domestic debt and budget deficit between 1990 and 2008

Billion CFA francs

Year

Budget defict

Domestic public debt

Source: Author based on data from the Directorate of Public Debt

The opposite evolution reflects the close link between budget deficit and debt. Both clusters have evolved unevenly.

The causes of massive increase in domestic debt are mainly lower raw materials prices (coffee, cocoa, cotton, phosphates), the Gulf war, the low level of tax revenue, the prices charged by suppliers, suspension of cooperation with the European Union (EU) and the accumulation of arrears.

Domestic debt is thus a real obstacle to the resumption of growth.

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