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Impact of political risks in international marketing: the case of West Africa

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par Samuel Yapi ANDOH
University of Northern Washington, USA - MBA, International Marketing 2007
  

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2.2.2.2 Political risks induced by the government

These risks constitute some laws directed against foreign firms. Some government-induced risks are very drastic. There are expropriation, confiscation and domestication.

Expropriation is the seizure of foreign assets by a government with payment of compensation to the owners. In other terms, it is involuntary transfer of property, with compensation, from a privately owned firm to a host country government. Expropriation may generate some funds for the owners. However, procedures to get paid from the government are sometimes protracted and the final amount remains low. Furthermore, if no compensation is paid, conflicts may erupt between the host country and the country of the expropriated firm. For instance, the relations between U.S. and Cuba acknowledge such situation, since Cuba does not offer compensation to U.S. firms that have their assets sized.3(*) Also, expropriation can refrain other companies from investing in the concerned country.

Confiscation is another type of ownership risk similar to expropriation, except compensation. It is involuntary transfer of property, no compensation, from a privately owned firm to a host country government. In confiscation, firms do not receive any funds from government. Thereby, it represents a more risky situation for foreign firms. Some industries are more vulnerable to confiscation than others because of their importance to the host countries and their lack of ability to shift operations. Sectors such as mining, energy, public utilities, and banking have been targets of such government actions.

Domestication offers to governments a subtle control over the foreign investments. There is a partial ownership transfer and companies are urged to prioritize local production and to retain a large share of the profit within the country. Domestication can negatively impact the international marketer activities, as well as that of the entire firm. For example, if foreign companies are forced to hire nationals as managers, poor cooperation and communication can result. If domestication was imposed within a short time span, poorly trained and inexperienced local managers would head the firm operations with possible lost of profits.

Other government actions-related risks are less dangerous but more common such as boycott, sabotage. When facing shortage of foreign currency, government, sometimes, attempts to control the movement of capital in and out of the country. Often, exchange controls are levied selectively against certain products or companies. Exchange controls limit importation of goods so that firms might be confronted with difficulties in their regular transactions. Severe restrictions on import can be a motive for foreign corporate to shut down. Governments may also raise the tax rate applied to foreign investors in order to control them and their capital. Government may implement a price control system. Such control uses to derive from a sensitive political situation. For example, social pressure may result in a kind of price standardization for particular sectors like food, transportation, fuel, and healthcare.

Political risks like arms conflicts, insurrection may affect all firms in the country equally. For that reason they are called macro political risks. Unlike, nationalization, strikes, expropriation may affect only a handful and specific firm, they are named micro political risks.

2.2.3. Impact of some political risks

Some negative effects of political risks on firm are summarized in the following table.

Table 1. Holistic table summarizing the major political risks and their effects on firms

TYPES

IMPACT ON FIRMS

Expropriation

Loss of future profits

 
 

Confiscation

Loss of assets

Loss of future profits

 
 

Campaigns against foreign goods

Loss of sales

Increased costs of public relations efforts to improve public image

 
 

Mandatory labor benefits legislation

Increased operating costs

 
 

Kidnappings, terrorists threats, and other forms of violence

Disrupted production

Increased security costs

Increased managerial costs

Lower productivity

 
 

Civil wars

Destruction of property

Lost sales

Disruption of production

Increased security costs

Lower productivity

 
 

Inflation

Higher operating costs

 
 

Repatriation

Inability to transfer funds freely

 
 

Currency devaluations

Reduced value of repatriated earnings

 
 

Increased taxation

Lower after-tax profits

Source, Ricky W. Griffin, International business, 2005, page 73

In long run, and depending on the severity of the risks, action taken by government may decrease income and be detrimental to the host country economy. Strong political risks that are deeply rooted in the country governance habit might be barriers to foreign investment and country prosperity. What is going on in West Africa?

PART TWO

Case study: West African countries

Chapter 1: Methodology for assessing political risks

* 3 International business, page 65

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